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WNBA · player forecast vs. actual

Alyssa Thomas: projected minutes and points beside the result.

8 verified final games from Aug 22, 2026 through Sep 24, 2026. The team in the latest archived game was Phoenix Mercury. Open any row for the full game recap.

In the latest verified comparison against Las Vegas Aces on Sep 24, 2026, Courtside saved a pre-tip forecast of 29.3 minutes and 12.6 points for Alyssa Thomas. The final result was 26.5 minutes and 6 points. See the source game recap

All qualified players

What this sample shows

8 distinct games

Across these saved pre-tip comparisons, actual minutes ran 1.7 minutes below the forecasts per game, while actual points ran 1.7 points below the forecasts per game. The widest points gap was 10.5 against Washington Mystics on Aug 27, 2026.

Minutes · forecast / actual31.4 / 29.7-1.7 actual minus forecast per game
Points · forecast / actual13.3 / 11.6-1.7 actual minus forecast per game
Average absolute miss2.6 min · 6.0 ptsSize of each game's miss, regardless of direction

Game-by-game record

Most recent first
Saved pre-tip projections and verified final results for Alyssa Thomas; differences are actual minus forecast
Game recapMin. forecastMin. actualMin. differencePts. forecastPts. actualPts. difference
vs. Las Vegas Aces · Las Vegas Aces 100–82 Phoenix MercuryForecast saved Sep 24, 9:35 PM EDT · Starter29.326.5-2.812.66.0-6.6
vs. Dallas Wings · Dallas Wings 86–87 Phoenix MercuryForecast saved Sep 21, 9:35 PM EDT · Starter29.232.1+2.912.615.0+2.4
at Dallas Wings · Phoenix Mercury 82–87 Dallas WingsForecast saved Sep 19, 12:35 PM EDT · Starter29.730.4+0.712.219.0+6.8
at Portland Fire · Phoenix Mercury 94–91 Portland FireForecast saved Sep 17, 9:35 PM EDT · Starter30.430.6+0.211.618.0+6.4
vs. Toronto Tempo · Toronto Tempo 69–101 Phoenix MercuryForecast saved Aug 29, 9:36 PM EDT · Starter32.621.9-10.713.44.0-9.4
vs. Washington Mystics · Washington Mystics 80–73 Phoenix MercuryForecast saved Aug 27, 9:36 PM EDT · Starter32.531.5-1.014.54.0-10.5
vs. Washington Mystics · Washington Mystics 94–84 Phoenix MercuryForecast saved Aug 25, 9:35 PM EDT · Starter33.331.5-1.814.416.0+1.6
vs. Atlanta Dream · Atlanta Dream 99–89 Phoenix MercuryForecast saved Aug 22, 9:36 PM EDT · Starter34.233.1-1.115.211.0-4.2
Reading this archive

Every forecast predates its game.

Each row comes from a verified final game recap and pairs a saved pre-tip Courtside forecast with the final player result. “Difference” means actual minus forecast. The averages describe only these 8 comparable games; missing forecasts and other games are excluded.

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