Toronto Tempo at Phoenix Mercury: projection vs. actual, August 29, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
9 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 3.3 minutes and 4.2 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Alyssa Thomas played 21.9 minutes against 32.6 projected, a 10.7-minute gap in this sample.
Natasha Mack scored 8 points against 7.9 projected, a 0.1-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyssa ThomasPhoenix Mercury · StarterForecast saved Aug 29, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 32.6 / 21.9 | -10.7 | 13.4 / 4 | -9.4 |
| Natasha MackPhoenix Mercury · StarterForecast saved Aug 29, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 20.5 / 19.4 | -1.1 | 7.9 / 8 | +0.1 |
| Noemie BrochantPhoenix Mercury · StarterForecast saved Aug 29, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 27.5 / 24.6 | -2.9 | 7.3 / 15 | +7.7 |
| Sami WhitcombPhoenix Mercury · StarterForecast saved Aug 29, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 21.9 / 15.7 | -6.2 | 5.4 / 14 | +8.6 |
| Isabelle HarrisonToronto Tempo · StarterForecast saved Aug 29, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 27.3 / 26.7 | -0.6 | 13.8 / 16 | +2.2 |
| Kia NurseToronto Tempo · StarterForecast saved Aug 29, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 21.8 / 17.8 | -4.0 | 9.0 / 2 | -7.0 |
| Kiki RiceToronto Tempo · StarterForecast saved Aug 29, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 29.1 / 27.9 | -1.2 | 13.9 / 14 | +0.1 |
| Laura JuskaiteToronto Tempo · StarterForecast saved Aug 29, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 29.1 / 27.2 | -1.9 | 11.9 / 10 | -1.9 |
| Temi FagbenleToronto Tempo · StarterForecast saved Aug 29, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 22.4 / 21.5 | -0.9 | 6.9 / 6 | -0.9 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
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