Washington Mystics at Phoenix Mercury: projection vs. actual, August 27, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
13 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 3.3 minutes and 6.5 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Natasha Mack played 27.6 minutes against 19.5 projected, a 8.1-minute gap in this sample.
Lauren Betts scored 6 points against 6.6 projected, a 0.6-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyssa ThomasPhoenix Mercury · StarterForecast saved Aug 27, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 32.5 / 31.5 | -1.0 | 14.5 / 4 | -10.5 |
| Kahleah CopperPhoenix Mercury · StarterForecast saved Aug 27, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 33.7 / 32.3 | -1.4 | 22.0 / 35 | +13.0 |
| Natasha MackPhoenix Mercury · StarterForecast saved Aug 27, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 19.5 / 27.6 | +8.1 | 7.6 / 10 | +2.4 |
| Noemie BrochantPhoenix Mercury · StarterForecast saved Aug 27, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 26.1 / 28.4 | +2.3 | 7.3 / 4 | -3.3 |
| Sami WhitcombPhoenix Mercury · StarterForecast saved Aug 27, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 21.1 / 18.8 | -2.3 | 5.3 / 3 | -2.3 |
| Valeriane AyayiPhoenix Mercury · BenchForecast saved Aug 27, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 14.9 / 11.8 | -3.1 | 5.0 / 0 | -5.0 |
| Georgia AmooreWashington Mystics · StarterForecast saved Aug 27, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 22.8 / 30.2 | +7.4 | 5.8 / 25 | +19.2 |
| Kiki IriafenWashington Mystics · StarterForecast saved Aug 27, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 29.5 / 30.3 | +0.8 | 16.1 / 20 | +3.9 |
| Michaela OnyenwereWashington Mystics · StarterForecast saved Aug 27, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 22.1 / 16.5 | -5.6 | 7.3 / 1 | -6.3 |
| Shakira AustinWashington Mystics · StarterForecast saved Aug 27, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 28.9 / 30.4 | +1.5 | 19.7 / 11 | -8.7 |
| Sonia CitronWashington Mystics · StarterForecast saved Aug 27, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 30.9 / 33.1 | +2.2 | 15.4 / 8 | -7.4 |
| Betnijah Laney-HamiltonWashington Mystics · BenchForecast saved Aug 27, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 15.0 / 22.0 | +7.0 | 3.7 / 6 | +2.3 |
| Lauren BettsWashington Mystics · BenchForecast saved Aug 27, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 19.4 / 19.3 | -0.1 | 6.6 / 6 | -0.6 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
Compare this game with other verified meetings between these teams .
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