Atlanta Dream at Phoenix Mercury: projection vs. actual, August 22, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
12 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 3.5 minutes and 4.6 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Sami Whitcomb played 27.5 minutes against 17.8 projected, a 9.7-minute gap in this sample.
Jordin Canada scored 12 points against 11.6 projected, a 0.4-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyssa ThomasPhoenix Mercury · StarterForecast saved Aug 22, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 34.2 / 33.1 | -1.1 | 15.2 / 11 | -4.2 |
| DeWanna BonnerPhoenix Mercury · StarterForecast saved Aug 22, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 28.8 / 30.1 | +1.3 | 12.7 / 12 | -0.7 |
| Kahleah CopperPhoenix Mercury · StarterForecast saved Aug 22, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 34.1 / 37.1 | +3.0 | 20.2 / 38 | +17.8 |
| Sami WhitcombPhoenix Mercury · StarterForecast saved Aug 22, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 17.8 / 27.5 | +9.7 | 5.4 / 6 | +0.6 |
| Natasha MackPhoenix Mercury · BenchForecast saved Aug 22, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 17.0 / 19.1 | +2.1 | 6.5 / 0 | -6.5 |
| Allisha GrayAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Aug 22, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 31.6 / 38.2 | +6.6 | 20.6 / 17 | -3.6 |
| Angel ReeseAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Aug 22, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 33.0 / 35.1 | +2.1 | 16.5 / 31 | +14.5 |
| Jordin CanadaAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Aug 22, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 30.9 / 29.2 | -1.7 | 11.6 / 12 | +0.4 |
| Naz HillmonAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Aug 22, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 28.8 / 34.7 | +5.9 | 8.9 / 8 | -0.9 |
| Rhyne HowardAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Aug 22, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 34.4 / 37.7 | +3.3 | 19.6 / 20 | +0.4 |
| Isobel BorlaseAtlanta Dream · BenchForecast saved Aug 22, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 16.7 / 13.0 | -3.7 | 5.4 / 4 | -1.4 |
| Madina OkotAtlanta Dream · BenchForecast saved Aug 22, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 12.2 / 10.2 | -2.0 | 8.2 / 4 | -4.2 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
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