WNBA · player forecast vs. actual

Sabrina Ionescu: projected minutes and points beside the result.

9 verified final games from Aug 22, 2026 through Sep 29, 2026. The team in the latest archived game was New York Liberty. Open any row for the full game recap.

In the latest verified comparison against Minnesota Lynx on Sep 29, 2026, Courtside saved a pre-tip forecast of 26.5 minutes and 11.7 points for Sabrina Ionescu. The final result was 32.9 minutes and 18 points. See the source game recap

All qualified players

What this sample shows

9 distinct games

Across these saved pre-tip comparisons, actual minutes ran 0.6 minutes below the forecasts per game, while actual points ran 3.5 points below the forecasts per game. The widest points gap was 14.5 against Chicago Sky on Aug 29, 2026.

Minutes · forecast / actual28.3 / 27.7-0.6 actual minus forecast per game

Points · forecast / actual14.3 / 10.8-3.5 actual minus forecast per game

Average absolute miss3.6 min · 6.1 ptsSize of each game's miss, regardless of direction

Game-by-game record

Most recent first

Saved pre-tip projections and verified final results for Sabrina Ionescu; differences are actual minus forecast
Game recap	Min. forecast	Min. actual	Min. difference	Pts. forecast	Pts. actual	Pts. difference
vs. Minnesota LynxSep 29, 2026 · Minnesota Lynx 71–87 New York LibertyForecast saved Sep 29, 8:18 PM EDT · Starter	26.5	32.9	+6.4	11.7	18.0	+6.3
at Minnesota LynxSep 27, 2026 · New York Liberty 91–75 Minnesota LynxForecast saved Sep 27, 1:36 PM EDT · Starter	25.5	28.2	+2.7	11.6	13.0	+1.4
vs. Atlanta DreamSep 23, 2026 · Atlanta Dream 83–65 New York LibertyForecast saved Sep 23, 7:35 PM EDT · Starter	26.6	23.4	-3.2	12.6	7.0	-5.6
vs. Atlanta DreamSep 21, 2026 · Atlanta Dream 95–84 New York LibertyForecast saved Sep 21, 7:35 PM EDT · Starter	27.2	28.8	+1.6	12.8	15.0	+2.2
at Toronto TempoSep 20, 2026 · New York Liberty 106–69 Toronto TempoForecast saved Sep 20, 2:35 PM EDT · Starter	29.5	22.2	-7.3	14.6	6.0	-8.6
at Minnesota LynxSep 18, 2026 · New York Liberty 93–81 Minnesota LynxForecast saved Sep 18, 7:05 PM EDT · Starter	30.1	29.8	-0.3	15.0	17.0	+2.0
vs. Chicago SkyAug 29, 2026 · Chicago Sky 66–85 New York LibertyForecast saved Aug 29, 12:35 PM EDT · Starter	31.0	23.1	-7.9	16.5	2.0	-14.5
vs. Golden State ValkyriesAug 27, 2026 · Golden State Valkyries 79–60 New York LibertyForecast saved Aug 27, 7:35 PM EDT · Starter	29.3	28.9	-0.4	16.5	7.0	-9.5
vs. Indiana FeverAug 22, 2026 · Indiana Fever 102–109 New York LibertyForecast saved Aug 22, 6:36 PM EDT · Starter	29.2	32.0	+2.8	17.1	12.0	-5.1

Saved pregame baselines featuring Sabrina Ionescu

Recent-games estimates

These separate, pre-tip Research baselines were not adjusted to confirmed lineups. They are not part of the forecast-versus-final averages above.

New York Liberty at Minnesota LynxOct 1, 2026 · Sabrina Ionescu: 27.1 baseline minutes, 12.7 baseline points

Reading this archive

Every forecast predates its game.

Each row comes from a verified final game recap and pairs a saved pre-tip Courtside forecast with the final player result. “Difference” means actual minus forecast. The averages describe only these 9 comparable games; missing forecasts and other games are excluded.

Browse verified WNBA game recaps