courtside.
WNBA · Final · Sun, Sep 20

New York Liberty at Toronto Tempo: projection vs. actual, September 20, 2026

Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.

New York Liberty106–Toronto Tempo69

How the saved forecasts compared

11 comparable players

Across the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 5.1 minutes and 6.0 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.

Largest minutes difference

Breanna Stewart played 22.0 minutes against 33.3 projected, a 11.3-minute gap in this sample.

Closest points forecast

Han Xu scored 7 points against 6.1 projected, a 0.9-point gap.

Courtside saved pregame minutes and points compared with official final results
PlayerMinutes
Proj / Actual
DifferencePoints
Proj / Actual
Difference
Breanna StewartNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Sep 20, 2:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v133.3 / 22.0-11.319.8 / 27+7.2
Jonquel JonesNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Sep 20, 2:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v122.0 / 20.1-1.912.6 / 11-1.6
Leonie FiebichNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Sep 20, 2:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v131.9 / 23.9-8.09.9 / 6-3.9
Pauline AstierNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Sep 20, 2:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v124.0 / 22.0-2.08.9 / 10+1.1
Sabrina IonescuNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Sep 20, 2:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v129.5 / 22.2-7.314.6 / 6-8.6
Han XuNew York Liberty · BenchForecast saved Sep 20, 2:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v114.2 / 15.6+1.46.1 / 7+0.9
Marine JohannesNew York Liberty · BenchForecast saved Sep 20, 2:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v112.2 / 18.5+6.35.6 / 9+3.4
Isabelle HarrisonToronto Tempo · StarterForecast saved Sep 20, 2:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v128.6 / 18.7-9.914.9 / 5-9.9
Kiki RiceToronto Tempo · StarterForecast saved Sep 20, 2:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v129.2 / 29.8+0.614.5 / 19+4.5
Laura JuskaiteToronto Tempo · StarterForecast saved Sep 20, 2:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v128.6 / 30.4+1.812.5 / 28+15.5
Maria CondeToronto Tempo · BenchForecast saved Sep 20, 2:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v128.0 / 22.3-5.79.2 / 0-9.2
Method

The clock matters.

We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.

Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.

See the combined WNBA projection track record

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