Minnesota Lynx at New York Liberty: projection vs. actual, September 29, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
13 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 7.1 minutes and 4.4 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Olivia Miles played 16.8 minutes against 30.5 projected, a 13.7-minute gap in this sample.
Kayla McBride scored 14 points against 14.4 projected, a 0.4-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney WilliamsMinnesota Lynx · StarterForecast saved Sep 29, 8:18 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 24.9 / 37.9 | +13.0 | 9.1 / 18 | +8.9 |
| Kayla McBrideMinnesota Lynx · StarterForecast saved Sep 29, 8:18 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 28.1 / 38.8 | +10.7 | 14.4 / 14 | -0.4 |
| Napheesa CollierMinnesota Lynx · StarterForecast saved Sep 29, 8:18 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 27.4 / 33.2 | +5.8 | 14.6 / 14 | -0.6 |
| Natasha HowardMinnesota Lynx · StarterForecast saved Sep 29, 8:18 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 18.7 / 15.6 | -3.1 | 9.9 / 2 | -7.9 |
| Olivia MilesMinnesota Lynx · StarterForecast saved Sep 29, 8:18 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 30.5 / 16.8 | -13.7 | 18.9 / 5 | -13.9 |
| Breanna StewartNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Sep 29, 8:18 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 32.2 / 40.0 | +7.8 | 22.2 / 21 | -1.2 |
| Jonquel JonesNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Sep 29, 8:18 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 26.0 / 31.5 | +5.5 | 14.1 / 21 | +6.9 |
| Leonie FiebichNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Sep 29, 8:18 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 26.8 / 29.3 | +2.5 | 7.5 / 7 | -0.5 |
| Pauline AstierNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Sep 29, 8:18 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 24.7 / 33.2 | +8.5 | 9.0 / 4 | -5.0 |
| Sabrina IonescuNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Sep 29, 8:18 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 26.5 / 32.9 | +6.4 | 11.7 / 18 | +6.3 |
| Han XuNew York Liberty · BenchForecast saved Sep 29, 8:18 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 11.4 / 8.5 | -2.9 | 5.4 / 6 | +0.6 |
| Marine JohannesNew York Liberty · BenchForecast saved Sep 29, 8:18 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 13.2 / 8.5 | -4.7 | 5.0 / 8 | +3.0 |
| Rebekah GardnerNew York Liberty · BenchForecast saved Sep 29, 8:18 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 13.0 / 5.5 | -7.5 | 4.3 / 2 | -2.3 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
Compare this game with other verified meetings between these teams .
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