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WNBA · player forecast vs. actual

Napheesa Collier: projected minutes and points beside the result.

7 verified final games from Aug 24, 2026 through Sep 29, 2026. The team in the latest archived game was Minnesota Lynx. Open any row for the full game recap.

In the latest verified comparison against New York Liberty on Sep 29, 2026, Courtside saved a pre-tip forecast of 27.4 minutes and 14.6 points for Napheesa Collier. The final result was 33.2 minutes and 14 points. See the source game recap

All qualified players

What this sample shows

7 distinct games

Across these saved pre-tip comparisons, actual minutes ran 0.9 minutes below the forecasts per game, while actual points ran 4.1 points below the forecasts per game. The widest points gap was 11.6 against Golden State Valkyries on Aug 24, 2026.

Minutes · forecast / actual31.2 / 30.3-0.9 actual minus forecast per game
Points · forecast / actual18.1 / 14.0-4.1 actual minus forecast per game
Average absolute miss5.4 min · 5.4 ptsSize of each game's miss, regardless of direction

Game-by-game record

Most recent first
Saved pre-tip projections and verified final results for Napheesa Collier; differences are actual minus forecast
Game recapMin. forecastMin. actualMin. differencePts. forecastPts. actualPts. difference
at New York Liberty · Minnesota Lynx 71–87 New York LibertyForecast saved Sep 29, 8:18 PM EDT · Starter27.433.2+5.814.614.0-0.6
vs. New York Liberty · New York Liberty 91–75 Minnesota LynxForecast saved Sep 27, 1:36 PM EDT · Starter27.832.9+5.115.312.0-3.3
at Indiana Fever · Minnesota Lynx 77–96 Indiana FeverForecast saved Sep 22, 7:35 PM EDT · Starter33.913.0-20.919.79.0-10.7
at Connecticut Sun · Minnesota Lynx 101–89 Connecticut SunForecast saved Sep 20, 12:35 PM EDT · Starter32.234.0+1.818.423.0+4.6
vs. New York Liberty · New York Liberty 93–81 Minnesota LynxForecast saved Sep 18, 7:05 PM EDT · Starter32.232.3+0.118.814.0-4.8
at Atlanta Dream · Minnesota Lynx 81–89 Atlanta DreamForecast saved Aug 30, 2:35 PM EDT · Starter32.235.0+2.819.317.0-2.3
vs. Golden State Valkyries · Golden State Valkyries 80–66 Minnesota LynxForecast saved Aug 24, 7:35 PM EDT · Starter32.831.7-1.120.69.0-11.6

Saved pregame baselines featuring Napheesa Collier

Recent-games estimates

These separate, pre-tip Research baselines were not adjusted to confirmed lineups. They are not part of the forecast-versus-final averages above.

Reading this archive

Every forecast predates its game.

Each row comes from a verified final game recap and pairs a saved pre-tip Courtside forecast with the final player result. “Difference” means actual minus forecast. The averages describe only these 7 comparable games; missing forecasts and other games are excluded.

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