Minnesota Lynx at Connecticut Sun: projection vs. actual, September 20, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
9 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 5.1 minutes and 4.3 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Saniya Rivers played 5.0 minutes against 28.3 projected, a 23.3-minute gap in this sample.
Courtney Williams scored 11 points against 11.5 projected, a 0.5-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaliyah EdwardsConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Sep 20, 12:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 24.6 / 30.7 | +6.1 | 14.5 / 12 | -2.5 |
| Diamond MillerConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Sep 20, 12:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 22.9 / 21.6 | -1.3 | 10.8 / 15 | +4.3 |
| Leila LacanConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Sep 20, 12:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 26.4 / 28.8 | +2.4 | 10.5 / 15 | +4.5 |
| Saniya RiversConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Sep 20, 12:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 28.3 / 5.0 | -23.3 | 9.1 / 0 | -9.1 |
| Courtney WilliamsMinnesota Lynx · StarterForecast saved Sep 20, 12:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 29.5 / 30.3 | +0.8 | 11.5 / 11 | -0.5 |
| Kayla McBrideMinnesota Lynx · StarterForecast saved Sep 20, 12:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 35.1 / 33.3 | -1.8 | 20.3 / 14 | -6.3 |
| Napheesa CollierMinnesota Lynx · StarterForecast saved Sep 20, 12:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 32.2 / 34.0 | +1.8 | 18.4 / 23 | +4.6 |
| Natasha HowardMinnesota Lynx · StarterForecast saved Sep 20, 12:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 29.3 / 21.0 | -8.3 | 12.9 / 18 | +5.1 |
| Olivia MilesMinnesota Lynx · StarterForecast saved Sep 20, 12:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 30.2 / 30.3 | +0.1 | 19.4 / 21 | +1.6 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
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