Minnesota Lynx at Indiana Fever: projection vs. actual, September 22, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
11 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 10.4 minutes and 6.5 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Kayla McBride played 12.0 minutes against 34.6 projected, a 22.6-minute gap in this sample.
Makayla Timpson scored 8 points against 8.2 projected, a 0.2-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney WilliamsMinnesota Lynx · StarterForecast saved Sep 22, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 29.9 / 8.9 | -21.0 | 11.5 / 2 | -9.5 |
| Kayla McBrideMinnesota Lynx · StarterForecast saved Sep 22, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 34.6 / 12.0 | -22.6 | 19.3 / 0 | -19.3 |
| Maya CaldwellMinnesota Lynx · StarterForecast saved Sep 22, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 16.2 / 18.6 | +2.4 | 3.8 / 7 | +3.2 |
| Napheesa CollierMinnesota Lynx · StarterForecast saved Sep 22, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 33.9 / 13.0 | -20.9 | 19.7 / 9 | -10.7 |
| Natasha HowardMinnesota Lynx · StarterForecast saved Sep 22, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 26.8 / 12.2 | -14.6 | 12.8 / 6 | -6.8 |
| Aliyah BostonIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Sep 22, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 26.3 / 29.8 | +3.5 | 14.7 / 17 | +2.3 |
| Caitlin ClarkIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Sep 22, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 33.8 / 32.6 | -1.2 | 25.8 / 27 | +1.2 |
| Kelsey MitchellIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Sep 22, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 33.5 / 27.0 | -6.5 | 28.8 / 20 | -8.8 |
| Lexie HullIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Sep 22, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 17.7 / 9.7 | -8.0 | 4.1 / 2 | -2.1 |
| Makayla TimpsonIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Sep 22, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 22.8 / 23.9 | +1.1 | 8.2 / 8 | -0.2 |
| Sophie CunninghamIndiana Fever · BenchForecast saved Sep 22, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 16.0 / 29.2 | +13.2 | 4.0 / 11 | +7.0 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
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