courtside.
WNBA · Final · Sat, Aug 22

Indiana Fever at New York Liberty: projection vs. actual, August 22, 2026

Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.

Indiana Fever102–New York Liberty109

How the saved forecasts compared

15 comparable players

Across the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 4.4 minutes and 3.4 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.

Largest minutes difference

Makayla Timpson played 18.9 minutes against 30.2 projected, a 11.3-minute gap in this sample.

Closest points forecast

Rebecca Allen scored 9 points against 9.0 projected, a 0.0-point gap.

Courtside saved pregame minutes and points compared with official final results
PlayerMinutes
Proj / Actual
DifferencePoints
Proj / Actual
Difference
Breanna StewartNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Aug 22, 6:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v130.3 / 34.9+4.618.2 / 22+3.8
Jonquel JonesNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Aug 22, 6:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v124.7 / 28.5+3.813.6 / 19+5.4
Leonie FiebichNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Aug 22, 6:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v132.4 / 33.8+1.410.2 / 20+9.8
Pauline AstierNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Aug 22, 6:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v119.2 / 24.5+5.37.3 / 8+0.7
Sabrina IonescuNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Aug 22, 6:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v129.2 / 32.0+2.817.1 / 12-5.1
Han XuNew York Liberty · BenchForecast saved Aug 22, 6:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v117.7 / 11.5-6.27.7 / 9+1.3
Marine JohannesNew York Liberty · BenchForecast saved Aug 22, 6:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v122.6 / 13.2-9.49.2 / 6-3.2
Rebecca AllenNew York Liberty · BenchForecast saved Aug 22, 6:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v126.6 / 15.6-11.09.0 / 9+0.0
Aliyah BostonIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Aug 22, 6:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v129.5 / 30.1+0.616.9 / 22+5.1
Caitlin ClarkIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Aug 22, 6:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v135.6 / 35.2-0.425.1 / 21-4.1
Kelsey MitchellIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Aug 22, 6:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v132.4 / 32.7+0.328.4 / 25-3.4
Lexie HullIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Aug 22, 6:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v115.8 / 12.3-3.53.7 / 0-3.7
Makayla TimpsonIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Aug 22, 6:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v130.2 / 18.9-11.39.1 / 10+0.9
Monique BillingsIndiana Fever · BenchForecast saved Aug 22, 6:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v115.1 / 14.2-0.95.5 / 4-1.5
Sophie CunninghamIndiana Fever · BenchForecast saved Aug 22, 6:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v123.4 / 27.9+4.57.0 / 10+3.0
Method

The clock matters.

We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.

Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.

See the combined WNBA projection track record

Browse more verified game recaps