Atlanta Dream at New York Liberty: projection vs. actual, September 23, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
11 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 6.5 minutes and 6.2 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Angel Reese played 16.8 minutes against 31.5 projected, a 14.7-minute gap in this sample.
Jordin Canada scored 12 points against 11.6 projected, a 0.4-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allisha GrayAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Sep 23, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 30.4 / 32.9 | +2.5 | 17.3 / 24 | +6.7 |
| Angel ReeseAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Sep 23, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 31.5 / 16.8 | -14.7 | 19.1 / 6 | -13.1 |
| Jordin CanadaAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Sep 23, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 29.9 / 26.4 | -3.5 | 11.6 / 12 | +0.4 |
| Naz HillmonAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Sep 23, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 24.6 / 32.9 | +8.3 | 8.1 / 16 | +7.9 |
| Rhyne HowardAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Sep 23, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 32.6 / 34.1 | +1.5 | 17.7 / 8 | -9.7 |
| DeWanna BonnerAtlanta Dream · BenchForecast saved Sep 23, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 21.6 / 26.3 | +4.7 | 9.4 / 9 | -0.4 |
| Jonquel JonesNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Sep 23, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 26.0 / 19.5 | -6.5 | 14.6 / 10 | -4.6 |
| Leonie FiebichNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Sep 23, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 29.0 / 16.3 | -12.7 | 8.2 / 0 | -8.2 |
| Pauline AstierNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Sep 23, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 25.6 / 15.6 | -10.0 | 10.2 / 4 | -6.2 |
| Sabrina IonescuNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Sep 23, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 26.6 / 23.4 | -3.2 | 12.6 / 7 | -5.6 |
| Marine JohannesNew York Liberty · BenchForecast saved Sep 23, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 11.4 / 15.6 | +4.2 | 5.0 / 0 | -5.0 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
Compare this game with other verified meetings between these teams .
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