Dallas Wings at Golden State Valkyries: projection vs. actual, October 2, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
14 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 6.7 minutes and 4.6 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Janelle Salaun played 7.6 minutes against 21.7 projected, a 14.1-minute gap in this sample.
Jessica Shepard scored 12 points against 12.7 projected, a 0.7-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arike OgunbowaleDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Oct 2, 8:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 33.9 / 33.9 | -0.0 | 18.8 / 30 | +11.2 |
| Awak KuierDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Oct 2, 8:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 27.0 / 33.3 | +6.3 | 8.6 / 6 | -2.6 |
| Jessica ShepardDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Oct 2, 8:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 32.1 / 39.8 | +7.7 | 12.7 / 12 | -0.7 |
| Paige BueckersDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Oct 2, 8:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 32.6 / 38.1 | +5.5 | 22.0 / 17 | -5.0 |
| Alysha ClarkDallas Wings · BenchForecast saved Oct 2, 8:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 16.6 / 25.1 | +8.5 | 5.2 / 3 | -2.2 |
| Aziaha JamesDallas Wings · BenchForecast saved Oct 2, 8:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 13.9 / 7.9 | -6.0 | 7.0 / 2 | -5.0 |
| Cecilia ZandalasiniGolden State Valkyries · StarterForecast saved Oct 2, 8:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 19.8 / 15.6 | -4.2 | 10.1 / 5 | -5.1 |
| Gabby WilliamsGolden State Valkyries · StarterForecast saved Oct 2, 8:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 29.6 / 30.6 | +1.0 | 17.4 / 19 | +1.6 |
| Kayla ThorntonGolden State Valkyries · StarterForecast saved Oct 2, 8:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 26.2 / 13.7 | -12.5 | 8.0 / 0 | -8.0 |
| Kiah StokesGolden State Valkyries · StarterForecast saved Oct 2, 8:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 24.6 / 34.8 | +10.2 | 3.2 / 6 | +2.8 |
| Veronica BurtonGolden State Valkyries · StarterForecast saved Oct 2, 8:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 31.2 / 36.7 | +5.5 | 13.0 / 16 | +3.0 |
| Janelle SalaunGolden State Valkyries · BenchForecast saved Oct 2, 8:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 21.7 / 7.6 | -14.1 | 11.4 / 3 | -8.4 |
| Kaila CharlesGolden State Valkyries · BenchForecast saved Oct 2, 8:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 24.0 / 27.5 | +3.5 | 8.0 / 10 | +2.0 |
| Tiffany HayesGolden State Valkyries · BenchForecast saved Oct 2, 8:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 18.2 / 26.8 | +8.6 | 11.6 / 18 | +6.4 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
For this matchup, read the separately saved pregame baseline . Its recent-games estimates were not lineup-adjusted and are separate from the forecasts graded in this recap.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
Compare this game with other verified meetings between these teams .
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