WNBA · Sun, Sep 27–Wed, Sep 30 · selected finals

Dallas Wings vs Golden State Valkyries: projection vs. actual.

2 verified final games, 33 player forecast-to-result pairs and 15 players with forecasts in multiple meetings. The forecasts were saved before tip-off; this review does not predict their next game.

See the game results

1–1Dallas Wings record in these finals

1–1Golden State Valkyries record in these finals

33saved pre-tip player comparisons

How each side compared

Selected games only

The table weights each player-game forecast equally. A smaller average absolute miss means the saved projection was closer to the final result among players with both records; it is not a win probability or a future-game forecast.

Head-to-head scores and saved player forecast error by team
Team	Record	Points scored	Compared players	Minutes avg. abs. miss	Points avg. abs. miss
Dallas Wings	1–1	188	15	6.9	7.9
Golden State Valkyries	1–1	204	18	5.3	5.9

Dallas Wings · compared players

Actual minutes averaged 2.6 minutes above the saved forecasts; actual points averaged 0.5 points above the saved forecasts.

Arike Ogunbowale had this side's largest points gap: 45 scored against 16.1 saved for Wed, Sep 30 ↗.

Golden State Valkyries · compared players

Actual minutes averaged 0.9 minutes below the saved forecasts; actual points averaged 1.3 points above the saved forecasts.

Gabby Williams had this side's largest points gap: 36 scored against 14.3 saved for Wed, Sep 30 ↗.

Players compared in multiple meetings

15 repeat players

These players had a saved pre-tip forecast and final result in at least two linked games. Averages here are across their own appearances in this selected series, so you can see recurring minutes and points gaps without mixing in other opponents.

Average saved projections and actual results for repeat players in this matchup
Player	Games	Minutes proj / actual	Minutes difference	Points proj / actual	Points difference
Kaitlyn ChenGolden State Valkyries	2	21.1 / 12.7	-8.4	8.8 / 6.0	-2.8
Gabby WilliamsGolden State Valkyries	2	25.6 / 32.1	+6.5	14.1 / 28.0	+13.9
Janelle SalaunGolden State Valkyries	2	20.0 / 25.6	+5.6	11.1 / 7.0	-4.1
Paige BueckersDallas Wings	2	29.0 / 34.3	+5.2	20.9 / 15.5	-5.4
Maddy SiegristDallas Wings	2	20.1 / 15.2	-4.9	9.3 / 6.5	-2.8
Kaila CharlesGolden State Valkyries	2	25.6 / 21.0	-4.6	8.0 / 8.5	+0.5
Tiffany HayesGolden State Valkyries	2	20.3 / 16.9	-3.4	12.9 / 13.5	+0.6
Arike OgunbowaleDallas Wings	2	30.8 / 33.8	+3.0	16.2 / 27.5	+11.3
Jessica ShepardDallas Wings	2	29.6 / 32.3	+2.7	13.5 / 2.0	-11.5
Cecilia ZandalasiniGolden State Valkyries	2	19.7 / 17.4	-2.3	9.3 / 13.5	+4.2
Aziaha JamesDallas Wings	2	13.8 / 15.6	+1.9	6.5 / 10.0	+3.5
Awak KuierDallas Wings	2	25.7 / 24.5	-1.3	8.6 / 5.0	-3.6
Kiah StokesGolden State Valkyries	2	23.6 / 22.6	-1.0	3.5 / 1.0	-2.5
Kayla ThorntonGolden State Valkyries	2	25.6 / 24.8	-0.8	7.4 / 11.5	+4.1
Veronica BurtonGolden State Valkyries	2	29.6 / 29.8	+0.2	12.5 / 10.5	-2.0

The verified games

Newest first · open the source recap

September 30, 2026 · final

Golden State Valkyries at Dallas Wings

100–108

Dallas Wings108 points · 7 player pairs10.3 min / 11.5 pts average absolute miss

Golden State Valkyries100 points · 9 player pairs6.2 min / 6.1 pts average absolute miss

Open the player-level forecast and final recap

September 27, 2026 · final

Dallas Wings at Golden State Valkyries

80–104

Dallas Wings80 points · 8 player pairs4.0 min / 4.7 pts average absolute miss

Golden State Valkyries104 points · 9 player pairs4.3 min / 5.6 pts average absolute miss

Open the player-level forecast and final recap

Read this sample

Only forecasts saved before each tip-off.

Each linked recap passed the final-score, actual-lineup and saved pre-tip forecast checks. This page requires two distinct games, at least 20 player-game pairs, at least eight pairs from each team and at least five players observed in multiple meetings. Missing forecasts are never filled from a later model run.

This is a selected historical sample, not every meeting between these teams and not a forecast for a future game. Differences are actual minus projected; average absolute misses ignore direction. Follow the source recaps to inspect each included player and capture time.

Browse other qualified WNBA matchups ↗

Head-to-head scores and saved player forecast error by team

Team

Record

Points scored

Compared players

Minutes avg. abs. miss

Points avg. abs. miss

Dallas Wings

1–1

188

6.9

7.9

Golden State Valkyries

1–1

204

5.3

5.9

Average saved projections and actual results for repeat players in this matchup

Player

Games

Minutes proj / actual

Minutes difference

Points proj / actual

Points difference

Kaitlyn ChenGolden State Valkyries

21.1 / 12.7

-8.4

8.8 / 6.0

-2.8

Gabby WilliamsGolden State Valkyries

25.6 / 32.1

+6.5

14.1 / 28.0

+13.9

Janelle SalaunGolden State Valkyries

20.0 / 25.6

+5.6

11.1 / 7.0

-4.1

Paige BueckersDallas Wings

29.0 / 34.3

+5.2

20.9 / 15.5

-5.4

Maddy SiegristDallas Wings

20.1 / 15.2

-4.9

9.3 / 6.5

-2.8

Kaila CharlesGolden State Valkyries

25.6 / 21.0

-4.6

8.0 / 8.5

+0.5

Tiffany HayesGolden State Valkyries

20.3 / 16.9

-3.4

12.9 / 13.5

+0.6

Arike OgunbowaleDallas Wings

30.8 / 33.8

+3.0

16.2 / 27.5

+11.3

Jessica ShepardDallas Wings

29.6 / 32.3

+2.7

13.5 / 2.0

-11.5

Cecilia ZandalasiniGolden State Valkyries

19.7 / 17.4

-2.3

9.3 / 13.5

+4.2

Aziaha JamesDallas Wings

13.8 / 15.6

+1.9

6.5 / 10.0

+3.5

Awak KuierDallas Wings

25.7 / 24.5

-1.3

8.6 / 5.0

-3.6

Kiah StokesGolden State Valkyries

23.6 / 22.6

-1.0

3.5 / 1.0

-2.5

Kayla ThorntonGolden State Valkyries

25.6 / 24.8

-0.8

7.4 / 11.5

+4.1

Veronica BurtonGolden State Valkyries

29.6 / 29.8

+0.2

12.5 / 10.5

-2.0

Only forecasts saved before each tip-off.

Browse other qualified WNBA matchups ↗