New York Liberty at Phoenix Mercury: projection vs. actual, August 1, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
10 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 3.4 minutes and 5.1 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Kahleah Copper played 36.6 minutes against 28.7 projected, a 7.9-minute gap in this sample.
Rebecca Allen scored 5 points against 5.8 projected, a 0.8-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna StewartNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Aug 1, 2:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 36.4 / 33.9 | -2.5 | 23.3 / 14 | -9.3 |
| Jonquel JonesNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Aug 1, 2:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 26.9 / 27.7 | +0.8 | 13.7 / 16 | +2.3 |
| Pauline AstierNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Aug 1, 2:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 21.4 / 21.3 | -0.1 | 8.8 / 6 | -2.8 |
| Rebecca AllenNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Aug 1, 2:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 24.7 / 20.7 | -4.0 | 5.8 / 5 | -0.8 |
| Sabrina IonescuNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Aug 1, 2:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 33.8 / 35.1 | +1.3 | 18.6 / 27 | +8.4 |
| Alyssa ThomasPhoenix Mercury · StarterForecast saved Aug 1, 2:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 36.0 / 35.8 | -0.2 | 15.4 / 17 | +1.6 |
| DeWanna BonnerPhoenix Mercury · StarterForecast saved Aug 1, 2:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 30.5 / 32.3 | +1.8 | 12.0 / 25 | +13.0 |
| Kahleah CopperPhoenix Mercury · StarterForecast saved Aug 1, 2:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 28.7 / 36.6 | +7.9 | 18.9 / 25 | +6.1 |
| Monique Akoa MakaniPhoenix Mercury · StarterForecast saved Aug 1, 2:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 23.4 / 15.7 | -7.7 | 8.5 / 4 | -4.5 |
| Natasha MackPhoenix Mercury · BenchForecast saved Aug 1, 2:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 19.4 / 11.9 | -7.5 | 7.2 / 5 | -2.2 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
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