Atlanta Dream at Washington Mystics: projection vs. actual, September 30, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
14 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 6.8 minutes and 4.5 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Cotie McMahon played 1.1 minutes against 18.8 projected, a 17.7-minute gap in this sample.
Angel Reese scored 15 points against 15.0 projected, a 0.0-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allisha GrayAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Sep 30, 5:31 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 30.0 / 35.0 | +5.0 | 17.8 / 22 | +4.2 |
| Angel ReeseAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Sep 30, 5:31 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 26.8 / 27.9 | +1.1 | 15.0 / 15 | -0.0 |
| Jordin CanadaAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Sep 30, 5:31 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 28.9 / 35.0 | +6.1 | 11.1 / 19 | +7.9 |
| Naz HillmonAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Sep 30, 5:31 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 22.4 / 33.3 | +10.9 | 7.2 / 10 | +2.8 |
| Rhyne HowardAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Sep 30, 5:31 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 32.6 / 30.1 | -2.5 | 17.4 / 15 | -2.4 |
| DeWanna BonnerAtlanta Dream · BenchForecast saved Sep 30, 5:31 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 21.9 / 13.9 | -8.0 | 9.7 / 7 | -2.7 |
| Georgia AmooreWashington Mystics · StarterForecast saved Sep 30, 5:31 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 23.8 / 28.3 | +4.5 | 8.9 / 2 | -6.9 |
| Kiki IriafenWashington Mystics · StarterForecast saved Sep 30, 5:31 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 25.0 / 35.5 | +10.5 | 14.1 / 15 | +0.9 |
| Michaela OnyenwereWashington Mystics · StarterForecast saved Sep 30, 5:31 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 22.6 / 18.2 | -4.4 | 8.1 / 12 | +3.9 |
| Shakira AustinWashington Mystics · StarterForecast saved Sep 30, 5:31 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 29.0 / 32.5 | +3.5 | 17.9 / 9 | -8.9 |
| Sonia CitronWashington Mystics · StarterForecast saved Sep 30, 5:31 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 31.8 / 37.9 | +6.1 | 17.1 / 25 | +7.9 |
| Betnijah Laney-HamiltonWashington Mystics · BenchForecast saved Sep 30, 5:31 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 13.9 / 11.1 | -2.8 | 3.2 / 2 | -1.2 |
| Cotie McMahonWashington Mystics · BenchForecast saved Sep 30, 5:31 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 18.8 / 1.1 | -17.7 | 6.8 / 0 | -6.8 |
| Lauren BettsWashington Mystics · BenchForecast saved Sep 30, 5:31 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 23.3 / 11.0 | -12.3 | 7.0 / 0 | -7.0 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
Compare this game with other verified meetings between these teams .
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