WNBA · Sun, Sep 27–Wed, Sep 30 · selected finals

Atlanta Dream vs Washington Mystics: projection vs. actual.

2 verified final games, 20 player forecast-to-result pairs and 6 players with forecasts in multiple meetings. The forecasts were saved before tip-off; this review does not predict their next game.

See the game results

2–0Atlanta Dream record in these finals

0–2Washington Mystics record in these finals

20saved pre-tip player comparisons

How each side compared

Selected games only

The table weights each player-game forecast equally. A smaller average absolute miss means the saved projection was closer to the final result among players with both records; it is not a win probability or a future-game forecast.

Head-to-head scores and saved player forecast error by team
Team	Record	Points scored	Compared players	Minutes avg. abs. miss	Points avg. abs. miss
Atlanta Dream	2–0	185	8	5.6	3.3
Washington Mystics	0–2	152	12	6.3	4.6

Atlanta Dream · compared players

Actual minutes averaged 2.0 minutes above the saved forecasts; actual points averaged 0.5 points above the saved forecasts.

Jordin Canada had this side's largest points gap: 19 scored against 11.1 saved for Wed, Sep 30 ↗.

Washington Mystics · compared players

Actual minutes averaged 0.5 minutes below the saved forecasts; actual points averaged 2.4 points below the saved forecasts.

Shakira Austin had this side's largest points gap: 9 scored against 17.9 saved for Wed, Sep 30 ↗.

Players compared in multiple meetings

6 repeat players

These players had a saved pre-tip forecast and final result in at least two linked games. Averages here are across their own appearances in this selected series, so you can see recurring minutes and points gaps without mixing in other opponents.

Average saved projections and actual results for repeat players in this matchup
Player	Games	Minutes proj / actual	Minutes difference	Points proj / actual	Points difference
Jordin CanadaAtlanta Dream	2	28.9 / 35.6	+6.7	11.3 / 14.5	+3.2
Lauren BettsWashington Mystics	2	22.8 / 16.9	-5.9	7.1 / 1.0	-6.1
Shakira AustinWashington Mystics	2	28.6 / 33.0	+4.5	18.0 / 10.5	-7.5
Naz HillmonAtlanta Dream	2	23.4 / 26.9	+3.5	7.8 / 7.0	-0.8
Kiki IriafenWashington Mystics	2	25.8 / 29.1	+3.3	14.4 / 15.0	+0.6
Michaela OnyenwereWashington Mystics	2	22.2 / 22.1	-0.1	8.1 / 10.0	+1.9

The verified games

Newest first · open the source recap

September 30, 2026 · final

Atlanta Dream at Washington Mystics

93–75

Atlanta Dream93 points · 6 player pairs5.6 min / 3.3 pts average absolute miss

Washington Mystics75 points · 8 player pairs7.7 min / 5.4 pts average absolute miss

Open the player-level forecast and final recap

September 27, 2026 · final

Washington Mystics at Atlanta Dream

77–92

Atlanta Dream92 points · 2 player pairs5.6 min / 3.0 pts average absolute miss

Washington Mystics77 points · 4 player pairs3.5 min / 2.9 pts average absolute miss

Open the player-level forecast and final recap

Read this sample

Only forecasts saved before each tip-off.

Each linked recap passed the final-score, actual-lineup and saved pre-tip forecast checks. This page requires two distinct games, at least 20 player-game pairs, at least eight pairs from each team and at least five players observed in multiple meetings. Missing forecasts are never filled from a later model run.

This is a selected historical sample, not every meeting between these teams and not a forecast for a future game. Differences are actual minus projected; average absolute misses ignore direction. Follow the source recaps to inspect each included player and capture time.

Browse other qualified WNBA matchups ↗