New York Liberty at Chicago Sky: projection vs. actual, August 18, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
11 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 5.8 minutes and 5.7 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Jonquel Jones played 6.5 minutes against 29.4 projected, a 22.9-minute gap in this sample.
Pauline Astier scored 8 points against 7.8 projected, a 0.2-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna StewartNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Aug 18, 8:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 30.0 / 34.7 | +4.7 | 18.0 / 22 | +4.0 |
| Jonquel JonesNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Aug 18, 8:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 29.4 / 6.5 | -22.9 | 15.7 / 5 | -10.7 |
| Pauline AstierNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Aug 18, 8:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 21.0 / 19.2 | -1.8 | 7.8 / 8 | +0.2 |
| Rebecca AllenNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Aug 18, 8:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 24.1 / 32.0 | +7.9 | 7.8 / 14 | +6.2 |
| Sabrina IonescuNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Aug 18, 8:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 28.3 / 33.7 | +5.4 | 16.4 / 18 | +1.6 |
| Han XuNew York Liberty · BenchForecast saved Aug 18, 8:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 16.0 / 25.5 | +9.5 | 6.9 / 12 | +5.1 |
| Marine JohannesNew York Liberty · BenchForecast saved Aug 18, 8:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 21.2 / 20.9 | -0.3 | 9.1 / 3 | -6.1 |
| Azura StevensChicago Sky · StarterForecast saved Aug 18, 8:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 23.8 / 23.2 | -0.6 | 9.3 / 12 | +2.7 |
| Courtney VanderslootChicago Sky · StarterForecast saved Aug 18, 8:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 24.8 / 26.9 | +2.1 | 10.8 / 8 | -2.8 |
| Kamilla CardosoChicago Sky · StarterForecast saved Aug 18, 8:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 27.0 / 31.7 | +4.7 | 17.3 / 17 | -0.3 |
| Natasha CloudChicago Sky · StarterForecast saved Aug 18, 8:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 31.0 / 34.7 | +3.7 | 12.2 / 35 | +22.8 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
Compare this game with other verified meetings between these teams .
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