Dallas Wings at Golden State Valkyries: projection vs. actual, August 17, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
12 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 4.7 minutes and 3.9 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Gabby Williams played 32.2 minutes against 20.7 projected, a 11.5-minute gap in this sample.
Paige Bueckers scored 21 points against 20.7 projected, a 0.3-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanna SmithDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Aug 17, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 30.9 / 29.9 | -1.0 | 10.9 / 13 | +2.1 |
| Arike OgunbowaleDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Aug 17, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 30.4 / 37.0 | +6.6 | 15.0 / 17 | +2.0 |
| Jessica ShepardDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Aug 17, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 24.6 / 25.7 | +1.1 | 10.7 / 4 | -6.7 |
| Paige BueckersDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Aug 17, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 33.7 / 33.5 | -0.2 | 20.7 / 21 | +0.3 |
| Odyssey SimsDallas Wings · BenchForecast saved Aug 17, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 23.8 / 12.3 | -11.5 | 7.6 / 0 | -7.6 |
| Cecilia ZandalasiniGolden State Valkyries · StarterForecast saved Aug 17, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 21.0 / 15.0 | -6.0 | 9.2 / 5 | -4.2 |
| Gabby WilliamsGolden State Valkyries · StarterForecast saved Aug 17, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 20.7 / 32.2 | +11.5 | 12.4 / 23 | +10.6 |
| Kayla ThorntonGolden State Valkyries · StarterForecast saved Aug 17, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 22.9 / 32.9 | +10.0 | 7.7 / 7 | -0.7 |
| Kiah StokesGolden State Valkyries · StarterForecast saved Aug 17, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 24.7 / 23.8 | -0.9 | 4.7 / 0 | -4.7 |
| Veronica BurtonGolden State Valkyries · StarterForecast saved Aug 17, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 29.3 / 32.5 | +3.2 | 12.1 / 16 | +3.9 |
| Janelle SalaunGolden State Valkyries · BenchForecast saved Aug 17, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 22.2 / 18.8 | -3.4 | 13.7 / 10 | -3.7 |
| Tiffany HayesGolden State Valkyries · BenchForecast saved Aug 17, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 18.5 / 19.6 | +1.1 | 10.7 / 10 | -0.7 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
Compare this game with other verified meetings between these teams .
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