Minnesota Lynx at Las Vegas Aces: projection vs. actual, August 15, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
12 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 3.9 minutes and 4.3 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Nia Coffey played 26.6 minutes against 12.3 projected, a 14.3-minute gap in this sample.
Chelsea Gray scored 12 points against 12.0 projected, a 0.0-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja WilsonLas Vegas Aces · StarterForecast saved Aug 15, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 33.9 / 33.7 | -0.2 | 26.1 / 32 | +5.9 |
| Chelsea GrayLas Vegas Aces · StarterForecast saved Aug 15, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 34.0 / 34.2 | +0.2 | 12.0 / 12 | -0.0 |
| Jackie YoungLas Vegas Aces · StarterForecast saved Aug 15, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 34.0 / 33.4 | -0.6 | 22.7 / 8 | -14.7 |
| NaLyssa SmithLas Vegas Aces · StarterForecast saved Aug 15, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 28.0 / 30.4 | +2.4 | 12.7 / 17 | +4.3 |
| Stephanie TalbotLas Vegas Aces · StarterForecast saved Aug 15, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 12.9 / 10.0 | -2.9 | 2.7 / 2 | -0.7 |
| Jewell LoydLas Vegas Aces · BenchForecast saved Aug 15, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 25.4 / 27.8 | +2.4 | 7.5 / 10 | +2.5 |
| Courtney WilliamsMinnesota Lynx · StarterForecast saved Aug 15, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 32.5 / 28.5 | -4.0 | 13.0 / 12 | -1.0 |
| Kayla McBrideMinnesota Lynx · StarterForecast saved Aug 15, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 32.4 / 33.4 | +1.0 | 21.4 / 13 | -8.4 |
| Napheesa CollierMinnesota Lynx · StarterForecast saved Aug 15, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 33.4 / 25.1 | -8.3 | 21.3 / 19 | -2.3 |
| Natasha HowardMinnesota Lynx · StarterForecast saved Aug 15, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 25.9 / 36.4 | +10.5 | 11.8 / 13 | +1.2 |
| Olivia MilesMinnesota Lynx · StarterForecast saved Aug 15, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 33.8 / 34.2 | +0.4 | 21.9 / 23 | +1.1 |
| Nia CoffeyMinnesota Lynx · BenchForecast saved Aug 15, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 12.3 / 26.6 | +14.3 | 2.8 / 12 | +9.2 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
Compare this game with other verified meetings between these teams .
Browse more verified game recaps