Los Angeles Sparks at Washington Mystics: projection vs. actual, August 15, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
13 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 3.2 minutes and 3.9 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Georgia Amoore played 11.0 minutes against 21.8 projected, a 10.8-minute gap in this sample.
Cotie McMahon scored 7 points against 7.6 projected, a 0.6-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ariel AtkinsLos Angeles Sparks · StarterForecast saved Aug 15, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 28.0 / 29.7 | +1.7 | 8.6 / 1 | -7.6 |
| Dearica HambyLos Angeles Sparks · StarterForecast saved Aug 15, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 29.3 / 32.7 | +3.4 | 16.4 / 11 | -5.4 |
| Erica WheelerLos Angeles Sparks · StarterForecast saved Aug 15, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 27.9 / 23.3 | -4.6 | 10.5 / 6 | -4.5 |
| Nneka OgwumikeLos Angeles Sparks · StarterForecast saved Aug 15, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 31.0 / 29.8 | -1.2 | 17.3 / 15 | -2.3 |
| Rae BurrellLos Angeles Sparks · StarterForecast saved Aug 15, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 31.8 / 34.1 | +2.3 | 17.0 / 20 | +3.0 |
| Chance GrayLos Angeles Sparks · BenchForecast saved Aug 15, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 10.5 / 6.8 | -3.7 | 3.3 / 0 | -3.3 |
| Georgia AmooreWashington Mystics · StarterForecast saved Aug 15, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 21.8 / 11.0 | -10.8 | 4.8 / 0 | -4.8 |
| Kiki IriafenWashington Mystics · StarterForecast saved Aug 15, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 28.3 / 27.3 | -1.0 | 13.5 / 19 | +5.5 |
| Michaela OnyenwereWashington Mystics · StarterForecast saved Aug 15, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 22.6 / 15.4 | -7.2 | 6.0 / 2 | -4.0 |
| Shakira AustinWashington Mystics · StarterForecast saved Aug 15, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 29.9 / 31.2 | +1.3 | 20.1 / 17 | -3.1 |
| Sonia CitronWashington Mystics · StarterForecast saved Aug 15, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 32.8 / 34.2 | +1.4 | 16.7 / 21 | +4.3 |
| Cotie McMahonWashington Mystics · BenchForecast saved Aug 15, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 22.2 / 22.4 | +0.2 | 7.6 / 7 | -0.6 |
| Lauren BettsWashington Mystics · BenchForecast saved Aug 15, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 18.3 / 21.5 | +3.2 | 6.2 / 8 | +1.8 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
Compare this game with other verified meetings between these teams .
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