Los Angeles Sparks vs Washington Mystics: projection vs. actual.
2 verified final games, 25 player forecast-to-result pairs and 11 players with forecasts in multiple meetings. The forecasts were saved before tip-off; this review does not predict their next game.
See the game resultsHow each side compared
Selected games onlyThe table weights each player-game forecast equally. A smaller average absolute miss means the saved projection was closer to the final result among players with both records; it is not a win probability or a future-game forecast.
| Team | Record | Points scored | Compared players | Minutes avg. abs. miss | Points avg. abs. miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Sparks | 1–1 | 158 | 12 | 2.6 | 4.0 |
| Washington Mystics | 1–1 | 162 | 13 | 2.4 | 3.0 |
Actual minutes averaged about level with the saved minutes forecasts; actual points averaged 1.7 points below the saved forecasts.
Nneka Ogwumike had this side's largest points gap: 24 scored against 16.4 saved for Fri, Aug 28 ↗.
Actual minutes averaged 1.1 minutes below the saved forecasts; actual points averaged 0.1 points above the saved forecasts.
Sonia Citron had this side's largest points gap: 22 scored against 14.6 saved for Fri, Aug 28 ↗.
Players compared in multiple meetings
11 repeat playersThese players had a saved pre-tip forecast and final result in at least two linked games. Averages here are across their own appearances in this selected series, so you can see recurring minutes and points gaps without mixing in other opponents.
| Player | Games | Minutes proj / actual | Minutes difference | Points proj / actual | Points difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia AmooreWashington Mystics | 2 | 24.2 / 17.8 | -6.4 | 6.4 / 4.5 | -1.9 |
| Michaela OnyenwereWashington Mystics | 2 | 22.5 / 18.6 | -3.9 | 6.4 / 4.0 | -2.4 |
| Erica WheelerLos Angeles Sparks | 2 | 25.9 / 22.4 | -3.5 | 9.5 / 7.0 | -2.5 |
| Ariel AtkinsLos Angeles Sparks | 2 | 26.9 / 28.4 | +1.5 | 8.3 / 2.5 | -5.8 |
| Sonia CitronWashington Mystics | 2 | 31.7 / 33.2 | +1.4 | 15.7 / 21.5 | +5.8 |
| Lauren BettsWashington Mystics | 2 | 18.6 / 19.6 | +0.9 | 6.3 / 7.0 | +0.7 |
| Shakira AustinWashington Mystics | 2 | 29.3 / 30.1 | +0.8 | 19.4 / 18.0 | -1.4 |
| Rae BurrellLos Angeles Sparks | 2 | 31.1 / 31.8 | +0.6 | 16.9 / 17.5 | +0.6 |
| Dearica HambyLos Angeles Sparks | 2 | 27.7 / 28.3 | +0.6 | 15.1 / 10.0 | -5.1 |
| Nneka OgwumikeLos Angeles Sparks | 2 | 30.2 / 29.8 | -0.4 | 16.8 / 19.5 | +2.7 |
| Kiki IriafenWashington Mystics | 2 | 29.2 / 28.8 | -0.4 | 15.2 / 15.5 | +0.3 |
The verified games
Newest first · open the source recapWashington Mystics at Los Angeles Sparks
Los Angeles Sparks at Washington Mystics
Only forecasts saved before each tip-off.
Each linked recap passed the final-score, actual-lineup and saved pre-tip forecast checks. This page requires two distinct games, at least 20 player-game pairs, at least eight pairs from each team and at least five players observed in multiple meetings. Missing forecasts are never filled from a later model run.
This is a selected historical sample, not every meeting between these teams and not a forecast for a future game. Differences are actual minus projected; average absolute misses ignore direction. Follow the source recaps to inspect each included player and capture time.
Browse other qualified WNBA matchups ↗