Los Angeles Sparks at New York Liberty: projection vs. actual, August 13, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
13 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 2.5 minutes and 4.6 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Marine Johannes played 22.0 minutes against 15.9 projected, a 6.1-minute gap in this sample.
Dearica Hamby scored 16 points against 16.2 projected, a 0.2-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna StewartNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Aug 13, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 30.2 / 31.2 | +1.0 | 19.6 / 11 | -8.6 |
| Jonquel JonesNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Aug 13, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 27.4 / 33.3 | +5.9 | 14.8 / 11 | -3.8 |
| Pauline AstierNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Aug 13, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 21.2 / 17.3 | -3.9 | 8.1 / 7 | -1.1 |
| Rebecca AllenNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Aug 13, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 22.4 / 25.7 | +3.3 | 7.2 / 13 | +5.8 |
| Sabrina IonescuNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Aug 13, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 28.8 / 32.6 | +3.8 | 16.4 / 20 | +3.6 |
| Marine JohannesNew York Liberty · BenchForecast saved Aug 13, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 15.9 / 22.0 | +6.1 | 6.7 / 10 | +3.3 |
| Rebekah GardnerNew York Liberty · BenchForecast saved Aug 13, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 15.3 / 12.5 | -2.8 | 4.9 / 4 | -0.9 |
| Ariel AtkinsLos Angeles Sparks · StarterForecast saved Aug 13, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 28.5 / 28.2 | -0.3 | 9.2 / 3 | -6.2 |
| Dearica HambyLos Angeles Sparks · StarterForecast saved Aug 13, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 29.1 / 30.2 | +1.1 | 16.2 / 16 | -0.2 |
| Erica WheelerLos Angeles Sparks · StarterForecast saved Aug 13, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 27.7 / 28.7 | +1.0 | 10.9 / 6 | -4.9 |
| Nneka OgwumikeLos Angeles Sparks · StarterForecast saved Aug 13, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 30.9 / 30.6 | -0.3 | 17.9 / 10 | -7.9 |
| Rae BurrellLos Angeles Sparks · StarterForecast saved Aug 13, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 31.1 / 33.3 | +2.2 | 15.8 / 28 | +12.2 |
| Cameron BrinkLos Angeles Sparks · BenchForecast saved Aug 13, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 19.6 / 19.2 | -0.4 | 9.8 / 9 | -0.8 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
Compare this game with other verified meetings between these teams .
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