Minnesota Lynx at Portland Fire: projection vs. actual, August 12, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
10 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 2.1 minutes and 2.1 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Olivia Miles played 34.6 minutes against 31.4 projected, a 3.2-minute gap in this sample.
Bridget Carleton scored 16 points against 15.9 projected, a 0.1-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney WilliamsMinnesota Lynx · StarterForecast saved Aug 11, 9:50 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 31.6 / 29.5 | -2.1 | 13.0 / 10 | -3.0 |
| Kayla McBrideMinnesota Lynx · StarterForecast saved Aug 11, 9:50 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 31.0 / 31.5 | +0.5 | 20.7 / 19 | -1.7 |
| Napheesa CollierMinnesota Lynx · StarterForecast saved Aug 11, 9:50 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 31.3 / 32.6 | +1.3 | 20.1 / 20 | -0.1 |
| Natasha HowardMinnesota Lynx · StarterForecast saved Aug 11, 9:50 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 25.0 / 28.2 | +3.2 | 11.3 / 14 | +2.7 |
| Olivia MilesMinnesota Lynx · StarterForecast saved Aug 11, 9:50 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 31.4 / 34.6 | +3.2 | 21.4 / 13 | -8.4 |
| Nia CoffeyMinnesota Lynx · BenchForecast saved Aug 11, 9:50 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 10.9 / 13.2 | +2.3 | 2.7 / 2 | -0.7 |
| Bridget CarletonPortland Fire · StarterForecast saved Aug 11, 9:50 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 30.0 / 32.6 | +2.6 | 15.9 / 16 | +0.1 |
| Emily EngstlerPortland Fire · StarterForecast saved Aug 11, 9:50 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 23.4 / 23.1 | -0.3 | 8.7 / 8 | -0.7 |
| Megan DiLeoPortland Fire · StarterForecast saved Aug 11, 9:50 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 26.6 / 23.5 | -3.1 | 14.3 / 12 | -2.3 |
| Nyadiew PuochPortland Fire · StarterForecast saved Aug 11, 9:50 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 20.2 / 23.0 | +2.8 | 5.2 / 4 | -1.2 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
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