New York Liberty at Indiana Fever: projection vs. actual, August 11, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
13 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 2.6 minutes and 3.1 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Monique Billings played 17.4 minutes against 23.0 projected, a 5.6-minute gap in this sample.
Jonquel Jones scored 14 points against 14.7 projected, a 0.7-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna StewartNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Aug 11, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 31.8 / 29.5 | -2.3 | 20.6 / 19 | -1.6 |
| Jonquel JonesNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Aug 11, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 27.1 / 29.6 | +2.5 | 14.7 / 14 | -0.7 |
| Pauline AstierNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Aug 11, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 22.0 / 17.8 | -4.2 | 8.9 / 3 | -5.9 |
| Rebecca AllenNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Aug 11, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 23.0 / 24.3 | +1.3 | 6.9 / 11 | +4.1 |
| Sabrina IonescuNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Aug 11, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 29.1 / 27.7 | -1.4 | 16.2 / 19 | +2.8 |
| Marine JohannesNew York Liberty · BenchForecast saved Aug 11, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 14.0 / 17.6 | +3.6 | 6.0 / 8 | +2.0 |
| Aliyah BostonIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Aug 11, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 28.0 / 25.7 | -2.3 | 16.3 / 19 | +2.7 |
| Caitlin ClarkIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Aug 11, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 35.1 / 34.8 | -0.3 | 26.2 / 22 | -4.2 |
| Kelsey MitchellIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Aug 11, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 36.2 / 31.2 | -5.0 | 30.4 / 28 | -2.4 |
| Lexie HullIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Aug 11, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 16.3 / 17.9 | +1.6 | 4.2 / 5 | +0.8 |
| Makayla TimpsonIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Aug 11, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 26.3 / 28.0 | +1.7 | 7.4 / 3 | -4.4 |
| Monique BillingsIndiana Fever · BenchForecast saved Aug 11, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 23.0 / 17.4 | -5.6 | 9.1 / 14 | +4.9 |
| Sophie CunninghamIndiana Fever · BenchForecast saved Aug 11, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 23.7 / 22.1 | -1.6 | 8.1 / 12 | +3.9 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
Compare this game with other verified meetings between these teams .
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