Dallas Wings at Minnesota Lynx: projection vs. actual, August 9, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
10 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 5.4 minutes and 8.6 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Jessica Shepard played 4.8 minutes against 31.6 projected, a 26.8-minute gap in this sample.
Natasha Howard scored 12 points against 11.6 projected, a 0.4-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanna SmithDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Aug 9, 3:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 19.4 / 26.6 | +7.2 | 7.0 / 11 | +4.0 |
| Arike OgunbowaleDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Aug 9, 3:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 30.2 / 27.7 | -2.5 | 15.4 / 5 | -10.4 |
| Jessica ShepardDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Aug 9, 3:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 31.6 / 4.8 | -26.8 | 13.8 / 0 | -13.8 |
| Paige BueckersDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Aug 9, 3:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 32.3 / 31.4 | -0.9 | 18.6 / 23 | +4.4 |
| Aziaha JamesDallas Wings · BenchForecast saved Aug 9, 3:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 9.9 / 15.0 | +5.1 | 4.5 / 19 | +14.5 |
| Courtney WilliamsMinnesota Lynx · StarterForecast saved Aug 9, 3:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 30.5 / 31.3 | +0.8 | 13.7 / 3 | -10.7 |
| Kayla McBrideMinnesota Lynx · StarterForecast saved Aug 9, 3:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 31.5 / 32.2 | +0.7 | 18.6 / 43 | +24.4 |
| Napheesa CollierMinnesota Lynx · StarterForecast saved Aug 9, 3:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 29.3 / 34.9 | +5.6 | 19.4 / 17 | -2.4 |
| Natasha HowardMinnesota Lynx · StarterForecast saved Aug 9, 3:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 25.9 / 24.1 | -1.8 | 11.6 / 12 | +0.4 |
| Olivia MilesMinnesota Lynx · StarterForecast saved Aug 9, 3:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 31.0 / 33.8 | +2.8 | 21.4 / 20 | -1.4 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
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