Las Vegas Aces at Minnesota Lynx: projection vs. actual, August 8, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
11 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 4.1 minutes and 4.2 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Napheesa Collier played 34.7 minutes against 26.8 projected, a 7.9-minute gap in this sample.
Courtney Williams scored 13 points against 12.8 projected, a 0.2-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja WilsonLas Vegas Aces · StarterForecast saved Aug 8, 12:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 33.6 / 32.6 | -1.0 | 28.4 / 16 | -12.4 |
| Chelsea GrayLas Vegas Aces · StarterForecast saved Aug 8, 12:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 34.2 / 35.6 | +1.4 | 13.1 / 9 | -4.1 |
| Jackie YoungLas Vegas Aces · StarterForecast saved Aug 8, 12:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 33.3 / 33.0 | -0.3 | 20.3 / 23 | +2.7 |
| NaLyssa SmithLas Vegas Aces · StarterForecast saved Aug 8, 12:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 28.1 / 24.0 | -4.1 | 14.3 / 14 | -0.3 |
| Jewell LoydLas Vegas Aces · BenchForecast saved Aug 8, 12:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 25.3 / 29.6 | +4.3 | 7.8 / 10 | +2.2 |
| Courtney WilliamsMinnesota Lynx · StarterForecast saved Aug 8, 12:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 27.7 / 33.1 | +5.4 | 12.8 / 13 | +0.2 |
| Kayla McBrideMinnesota Lynx · StarterForecast saved Aug 8, 12:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 31.6 / 35.3 | +3.7 | 19.2 / 15 | -4.2 |
| Napheesa CollierMinnesota Lynx · StarterForecast saved Aug 8, 12:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 26.8 / 34.7 | +7.9 | 18.2 / 22 | +3.8 |
| Natasha HowardMinnesota Lynx · StarterForecast saved Aug 8, 12:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 24.7 / 29.2 | +4.5 | 10.8 / 17 | +6.2 |
| Olivia MilesMinnesota Lynx · StarterForecast saved Aug 8, 12:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 28.6 / 35.2 | +6.6 | 19.7 / 26 | +6.3 |
| Nia CoffeyMinnesota Lynx · BenchForecast saved Aug 8, 12:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 12.8 / 6.5 | -6.3 | 3.4 / 0 | -3.4 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
Compare this game with other verified meetings between these teams .
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