Golden State Valkyries at Dallas Wings: projection vs. actual, August 7, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
11 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 3.7 minutes and 5.6 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Alanna Smith played 27.4 minutes against 15.5 projected, a 11.9-minute gap in this sample.
Paige Bueckers scored 17 points against 18.4 projected, a 1.4-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanna SmithDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Aug 7, 9:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 15.5 / 27.4 | +11.9 | 5.6 / 11 | +5.4 |
| Arike OgunbowaleDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Aug 7, 9:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 31.8 / 26.7 | -5.1 | 16.9 / 5 | -11.9 |
| Jessica ShepardDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Aug 7, 9:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 30.0 / 25.8 | -4.2 | 13.8 / 6 | -7.8 |
| Paige BueckersDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Aug 7, 9:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 31.6 / 28.9 | -2.7 | 18.4 / 17 | -1.4 |
| Cecilia ZandalasiniGolden State Valkyries · StarterForecast saved Aug 7, 9:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 20.0 / 17.5 | -2.5 | 8.4 / 5 | -3.4 |
| Gabby WilliamsGolden State Valkyries · StarterForecast saved Aug 7, 9:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 23.1 / 21.9 | -1.2 | 13.2 / 19 | +5.8 |
| Kayla ThorntonGolden State Valkyries · StarterForecast saved Aug 7, 9:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 24.1 / 27.4 | +3.3 | 8.1 / 11 | +2.9 |
| Kiah StokesGolden State Valkyries · StarterForecast saved Aug 7, 9:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 24.3 / 26.0 | +1.7 | 4.1 / 7 | +2.9 |
| Veronica BurtonGolden State Valkyries · StarterForecast saved Aug 7, 9:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 30.8 / 30.1 | -0.7 | 12.1 / 22 | +9.9 |
| Janelle SalaunGolden State Valkyries · BenchForecast saved Aug 7, 9:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 21.7 / 16.6 | -5.1 | 14.0 / 9 | -5.0 |
| Kaitlyn ChenGolden State Valkyries · BenchForecast saved Aug 7, 9:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 14.2 / 11.6 | -2.6 | 7.1 / 2 | -5.1 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
Compare this game with other verified meetings between these teams .
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