Phoenix Mercury at Chicago Sky: projection vs. actual, August 3, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
12 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 3.5 minutes and 4.2 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Sydney Taylor played 16.9 minutes against 28.2 projected, a 11.3-minute gap in this sample.
DeWanna Bonner scored 14 points against 13.3 projected, a 0.7-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyssa ThomasPhoenix Mercury · StarterForecast saved Aug 3, 8:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 35.9 / 37.6 | +1.7 | 15.7 / 19 | +3.3 |
| DeWanna BonnerPhoenix Mercury · StarterForecast saved Aug 3, 8:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 30.3 / 30.6 | +0.3 | 13.3 / 14 | +0.7 |
| Kahleah CopperPhoenix Mercury · StarterForecast saved Aug 3, 8:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 29.1 / 34.4 | +5.3 | 19.1 / 31 | +11.9 |
| Natasha MackPhoenix Mercury · StarterForecast saved Aug 3, 8:41 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 17.2 / 18.2 | +1.0 | 6.5 / 9 | +2.5 |
| Noemie BrochantPhoenix Mercury · StarterForecast saved Aug 3, 8:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 22.8 / 18.7 | -4.1 | 4.8 / 2 | -2.8 |
| Aicha CoulibalyChicago Sky · StarterForecast saved Aug 3, 8:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 11.1 / 10.7 | -0.4 | 3.8 / 6 | +2.2 |
| Courtney VanderslootChicago Sky · StarterForecast saved Aug 3, 8:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 20.3 / 26.8 | +6.5 | 9.1 / 16 | +6.9 |
| Kamilla CardosoChicago Sky · StarterForecast saved Aug 3, 8:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 24.0 / 27.7 | +3.7 | 14.4 / 16 | +1.6 |
| Natasha CloudChicago Sky · StarterForecast saved Aug 3, 8:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 31.3 / 31.4 | +0.1 | 11.0 / 13 | +2.0 |
| Sydney TaylorChicago Sky · StarterForecast saved Aug 3, 8:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 28.2 / 16.9 | -11.3 | 20.6 / 14 | -6.6 |
| DiJonai CarringtonChicago Sky · BenchForecast saved Aug 3, 8:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 14.4 / 20.1 | +5.7 | 7.4 / 16 | +8.6 |
| Elizabeth WilliamsChicago Sky · BenchForecast saved Aug 3, 8:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 17.4 / 15.2 | -2.2 | 6.4 / 5 | -1.4 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
Browse more verified game recaps