New York Liberty at Las Vegas Aces: projection vs. actual, July 30, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
12 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 4.1 minutes and 6.5 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Marine Johannes played 8.4 minutes against 19.6 projected, a 11.2-minute gap in this sample.
Jewell Loyd scored 6 points against 8.6 projected, a 2.6-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna StewartNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Jul 30, 9:45 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 35.2 / 37.3 | +2.1 | 22.5 / 26 | +3.5 |
| Jonquel JonesNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Jul 30, 9:45 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 26.8 / 27.7 | +0.9 | 14.4 / 8 | -6.4 |
| Pauline AstierNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Jul 30, 9:45 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 22.0 / 21.5 | -0.5 | 7.8 / 19 | +11.2 |
| Rebecca AllenNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Jul 30, 9:45 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 20.6 / 27.2 | +6.6 | 4.2 / 13 | +8.8 |
| Sabrina IonescuNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Jul 30, 9:45 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 34.6 / 29.1 | -5.5 | 19.3 / 15 | -4.3 |
| Han XuNew York Liberty · BenchForecast saved Jul 30, 9:45 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 15.5 / 15.0 | -0.5 | 6.2 / 3 | -3.2 |
| Marine JohannesNew York Liberty · BenchForecast saved Jul 30, 9:45 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 19.6 / 8.4 | -11.2 | 7.9 / 0 | -7.9 |
| A'ja WilsonLas Vegas Aces · StarterForecast saved Jul 30, 9:45 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 27.4 / 35.7 | +8.3 | 23.6 / 33 | +9.4 |
| Chelsea GrayLas Vegas Aces · StarterForecast saved Jul 30, 9:45 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 31.6 / 33.8 | +2.2 | 12.8 / 16 | +3.2 |
| Jackie YoungLas Vegas Aces · StarterForecast saved Jul 30, 9:45 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 26.9 / 35.7 | +8.8 | 15.9 / 29 | +13.1 |
| NaLyssa SmithLas Vegas Aces · StarterForecast saved Jul 30, 9:45 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 21.7 / 19.1 | -2.6 | 11.1 / 7 | -4.1 |
| Jewell LoydLas Vegas Aces · BenchForecast saved Jul 30, 9:45 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 26.6 / 26.9 | +0.3 | 8.6 / 6 | -2.6 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
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