courtside.
WNBA · Final · Thu, Jul 30

Minnesota Lynx at Toronto Tempo: projection vs. actual, July 30, 2026

Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.

Minnesota Lynx104–Toronto Tempo72

How the saved forecasts compared

9 comparable players

Across the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 4.8 minutes and 6.2 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.

Largest minutes difference

Julie Allemand played 22.5 minutes against 32.3 projected, a 9.8-minute gap in this sample.

Closest points forecast

Natasha Howard scored 9 points against 11.8 projected, a 2.8-point gap.

Courtside saved pregame minutes and points compared with official final results
PlayerMinutes
Proj / Actual
DifferencePoints
Proj / Actual
Difference
Courtney WilliamsMinnesota Lynx · StarterForecast saved Jul 30, 7:45 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v126.1 / 25.0-1.110.9 / 16+5.1
Kayla McBrideMinnesota Lynx · StarterForecast saved Jul 30, 7:45 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v133.2 / 24.5-8.722.1 / 13-9.1
Napheesa CollierMinnesota Lynx · StarterForecast saved Jul 30, 7:45 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v131.3 / 21.8-9.521.3 / 16-5.3
Natasha HowardMinnesota Lynx · StarterForecast saved Jul 30, 7:45 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v125.5 / 23.6-1.911.8 / 9-2.8
Olivia MilesMinnesota Lynx · StarterForecast saved Jul 30, 7:45 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v131.1 / 22.8-8.320.8 / 16-4.8
Julie AllemandToronto Tempo · StarterForecast saved Jul 30, 7:45 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v132.3 / 22.5-9.87.6 / 0-7.6
Laura JuskaiteToronto Tempo · StarterForecast saved Jul 30, 7:45 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v129.2 / 29.6+0.411.1 / 19+7.9
Maria CondeToronto Tempo · StarterForecast saved Jul 30, 7:45 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v130.3 / 27.6-2.711.7 / 5-6.7
Marina MabreyToronto Tempo · StarterForecast saved Jul 30, 7:45 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v128.8 / 27.9-0.922.3 / 16-6.3
Method

The clock matters.

We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.

Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.

See the combined WNBA projection track record

Compare this game with other verified meetings between these teams .

Browse more verified game recaps