New York Liberty at Los Angeles Sparks: projection vs. actual, July 28, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
10 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 2.7 minutes and 5.7 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Pauline Astier played 15.9 minutes against 23.5 projected, a 7.6-minute gap in this sample.
Cameron Brink scored 11 points against 8.8 projected, a 2.2-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna StewartNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Jul 28, 9:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 34.6 / 37.1 | +2.5 | 21.3 / 29 | +7.7 |
| Jonquel JonesNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Jul 28, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 28.3 / 23.8 | -4.5 | 15.4 / 9 | -6.4 |
| Pauline AstierNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Jul 28, 9:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 23.5 / 15.9 | -7.6 | 8.7 / 4 | -4.7 |
| Sabrina IonescuNew York Liberty · StarterForecast saved Jul 28, 9:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 34.4 / 35.5 | +1.1 | 18.1 / 27 | +8.9 |
| Ariel AtkinsLos Angeles Sparks · StarterForecast saved Jul 28, 9:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 33.4 / 34.2 | +0.8 | 11.1 / 16 | +4.9 |
| Dearica HambyLos Angeles Sparks · StarterForecast saved Jul 28, 9:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 30.1 / 32.7 | +2.6 | 15.2 / 12 | -3.2 |
| Erica WheelerLos Angeles Sparks · StarterForecast saved Jul 28, 9:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 31.2 / 27.2 | -4.0 | 10.3 / 17 | +6.7 |
| Nneka OgwumikeLos Angeles Sparks · StarterForecast saved Jul 28, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 29.1 / 28.3 | -0.8 | 16.8 / 21 | +4.2 |
| Rae BurrellLos Angeles Sparks · StarterForecast saved Jul 28, 9:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 31.8 / 33.9 | +2.1 | 16.0 / 24 | +8.0 |
| Cameron BrinkLos Angeles Sparks · BenchForecast saved Jul 28, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 17.6 / 19.0 | +1.4 | 8.8 / 11 | +2.2 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
Compare this game with other verified meetings between these teams .
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