Toronto Tempo at Minnesota Lynx: projection vs. actual, July 28, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
12 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 3.3 minutes and 4.8 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Nia Coffey played 13.7 minutes against 24.4 projected, a 10.7-minute gap in this sample.
Natasha Howard scored 13 points against 12.1 projected, a 0.9-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney WilliamsMinnesota Lynx · StarterForecast saved Jul 28, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 27.9 / 25.8 | -2.1 | 12.4 / 5 | -7.4 |
| Kayla McBrideMinnesota Lynx · StarterForecast saved Jul 28, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 33.2 / 34.6 | +1.4 | 22.4 / 18 | -4.4 |
| Napheesa CollierMinnesota Lynx · StarterForecast saved Jul 28, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 34.0 / 25.0 | -9.0 | 23.5 / 15 | -8.5 |
| Natasha HowardMinnesota Lynx · StarterForecast saved Jul 28, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 26.1 / 28.7 | +2.6 | 12.1 / 13 | +0.9 |
| Olivia MilesMinnesota Lynx · StarterForecast saved Jul 28, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 30.1 / 31.6 | +1.5 | 19.7 / 24 | +4.3 |
| Dorka JuhaszMinnesota Lynx · BenchForecast saved Jul 28, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 18.4 / 14.6 | -3.8 | 4.7 / 2 | -2.7 |
| Nia CoffeyMinnesota Lynx · BenchForecast saved Jul 28, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 24.4 / 13.7 | -10.7 | 6.4 / 0 | -6.4 |
| Julie AllemandToronto Tempo · StarterForecast saved Jul 28, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 32.7 / 31.9 | -0.8 | 7.4 / 10 | +2.6 |
| Laura JuskaiteToronto Tempo · StarterForecast saved Jul 28, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 29.7 / 33.7 | +4.0 | 10.7 / 18 | +7.3 |
| Maria CondeToronto Tempo · StarterForecast saved Jul 28, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 31.3 / 29.9 | -1.4 | 10.9 / 20 | +9.1 |
| Marina MabreyToronto Tempo · StarterForecast saved Jul 28, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 29.5 / 31.7 | +2.2 | 22.6 / 25 | +2.4 |
| Kia NurseToronto Tempo · BenchForecast saved Jul 28, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 12.9 / 13.6 | +0.7 | 4.7 / 3 | -1.7 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
Compare this game with other verified meetings between these teams .
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