Las Vegas Aces at Indiana Fever: projection vs. actual, September 29, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
12 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 5.2 minutes and 3.4 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Lexie Hull played 26.4 minutes against 14.0 projected, a 12.4-minute gap in this sample.
Makayla Timpson scored 6 points against 6.1 projected, a 0.1-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja WilsonLas Vegas Aces · StarterForecast saved Sep 29, 5:00 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 32.1 / 34.1 | +2.0 | 27.6 / 22 | -5.6 |
| Chelsea GrayLas Vegas Aces · StarterForecast saved Sep 29, 5:00 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 31.5 / 36.9 | +5.4 | 11.5 / 10 | -1.5 |
| Jackie YoungLas Vegas Aces · StarterForecast saved Sep 29, 5:00 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 32.4 / 36.3 | +3.9 | 21.7 / 31 | +9.3 |
| Stephanie TalbotLas Vegas Aces · StarterForecast saved Sep 29, 5:00 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 23.2 / 27.1 | +3.9 | 7.1 / 9 | +1.9 |
| Cheyenne Parker-TyusLas Vegas Aces · BenchForecast saved Sep 29, 5:00 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 14.9 / 14.9 | -0.0 | 7.3 / 9 | +1.7 |
| Jewell LoydLas Vegas Aces · BenchForecast saved Sep 29, 5:00 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 23.4 / 30.8 | +7.4 | 8.5 / 8 | -0.5 |
| Aliyah BostonIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Sep 29, 5:00 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 23.0 / 29.9 | +6.9 | 12.7 / 22 | +9.3 |
| Caitlin ClarkIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Sep 29, 5:00 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 30.5 / 33.3 | +2.8 | 20.4 / 27 | +6.6 |
| Kelsey MitchellIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Sep 29, 5:00 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 29.5 / 34.3 | +4.8 | 22.8 / 26 | +3.2 |
| Lexie HullIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Sep 29, 5:00 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 14.0 / 26.4 | +12.4 | 3.5 / 4 | +0.5 |
| Makayla TimpsonIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Sep 29, 5:00 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 19.0 / 9.2 | -9.8 | 6.1 / 6 | -0.1 |
| Sophie CunninghamIndiana Fever · BenchForecast saved Sep 29, 5:00 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 20.2 / 23.5 | +3.3 | 5.1 / 4 | -1.1 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
Compare this game with other verified meetings between these teams .
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