WNBA · Final · Wed, Sep 23

Dallas Wings at Seattle Storm: projection vs. actual, September 23, 2026

Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.

Dallas Wings103–Seattle Storm91

How the saved forecasts compared

6 comparable players

Across the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 3.3 minutes and 5.6 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.

Largest minutes difference

Dominique Malonga played 34.2 minutes against 26.9 projected, a 7.3-minute gap in this sample.

Closest points forecast

Flau'jae Johnson scored 21 points against 18.9 projected, a 2.1-point gap.

Courtside saved pregame minutes and points compared with official final results
Player	Minutes Proj / Actual	Difference	Points Proj / Actual	Difference
Arike OgunbowaleDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Sep 23, 9:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1	30.2 / 34.8	+4.6	15.8 / 23	+7.2
Jessica ShepardDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Sep 23, 9:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1	30.1 / 32.6	+2.5	13.9 / 20	+6.1
Paige BueckersDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Sep 23, 9:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1	29.7 / 29.7	+0.0	20.9 / 25	+4.1
Dominique MalongaSeattle Storm · StarterForecast saved Sep 23, 9:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1	26.9 / 34.2	+7.3	17.0 / 29	+12.0
Flau'jae JohnsonSeattle Storm · StarterForecast saved Sep 23, 9:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1	30.6 / 35.0	+4.4	18.9 / 21	+2.1
Natisha HiedemanSeattle Storm · StarterForecast saved Sep 23, 9:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1	31.6 / 32.4	+0.8	12.3 / 10	-2.3

Method

The clock matters.

We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.

Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.

See the combined WNBA projection track record

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