Connecticut Sun at Washington Mystics: projection vs. actual, September 22, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
10 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 4.3 minutes and 3.9 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Kiki Iriafen played 17.9 minutes against 28.4 projected, a 10.5-minute gap in this sample.
Lauren Betts scored 7 points against 7.0 projected, a 0.0-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaliyah EdwardsConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Sep 22, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 25.4 / 26.9 | +1.5 | 14.2 / 8 | -6.2 |
| Charlisse Leger-WalkerConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Sep 22, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 24.6 / 29.7 | +5.1 | 8.3 / 7 | -1.3 |
| Diamond MillerConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Sep 22, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 24.5 / 33.6 | +9.1 | 11.9 / 19 | +7.1 |
| Leila LacanConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Sep 22, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 28.1 / 30.4 | +2.3 | 11.5 / 11 | -0.5 |
| Georgia AmooreWashington Mystics · StarterForecast saved Sep 22, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 25.5 / 25.5 | +0.0 | 8.8 / 8 | -0.8 |
| Kiki IriafenWashington Mystics · StarterForecast saved Sep 22, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 28.4 / 17.9 | -10.5 | 16.3 / 4 | -12.3 |
| Michaela OnyenwereWashington Mystics · StarterForecast saved Sep 22, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 20.2 / 17.4 | -2.8 | 6.6 / 7 | +0.4 |
| Shakira AustinWashington Mystics · StarterForecast saved Sep 22, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 27.6 / 34.6 | +7.0 | 18.5 / 25 | +6.5 |
| Sonia CitronWashington Mystics · StarterForecast saved Sep 22, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 32.1 / 30.5 | -1.6 | 15.7 / 12 | -3.7 |
| Lauren BettsWashington Mystics · BenchForecast saved Sep 22, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 21.6 / 25.1 | +3.5 | 7.0 / 7 | -0.0 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
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