Seattle Storm at Las Vegas Aces: projection vs. actual, September 20, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
10 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 2.0 minutes and 5.7 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Jade Melbourne played 19.1 minutes against 26.0 projected, a 6.9-minute gap in this sample.
Jackie Young scored 23 points against 22.6 projected, a 0.4-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja WilsonLas Vegas Aces · StarterForecast saved Sep 20, 8:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 30.3 / 30.2 | -0.1 | 25.1 / 30 | +4.9 |
| Chelsea GrayLas Vegas Aces · StarterForecast saved Sep 20, 8:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 29.0 / 29.1 | +0.1 | 9.5 / 15 | +5.5 |
| Jackie YoungLas Vegas Aces · StarterForecast saved Sep 20, 8:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 30.3 / 31.2 | +0.9 | 22.6 / 23 | +0.4 |
| Stephanie TalbotLas Vegas Aces · StarterForecast saved Sep 20, 8:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 18.9 / 16.3 | -2.6 | 4.8 / 2 | -2.8 |
| Jewell LoydLas Vegas Aces · BenchForecast saved Sep 20, 8:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 20.5 / 23.6 | +3.1 | 6.1 / 4 | -2.1 |
| Awa FamSeattle Storm · StarterForecast saved Sep 20, 8:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 25.3 / 23.2 | -2.1 | 8.3 / 6 | -2.3 |
| Dominique MalongaSeattle Storm · StarterForecast saved Sep 20, 8:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 26.1 / 24.4 | -1.7 | 15.4 / 25 | +9.6 |
| Flau'jae JohnsonSeattle Storm · StarterForecast saved Sep 20, 8:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 29.4 / 32.1 | +2.7 | 17.1 / 29 | +11.9 |
| Natisha HiedemanSeattle Storm · StarterForecast saved Sep 20, 8:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 31.7 / 31.4 | -0.3 | 13.2 / 4 | -9.2 |
| Jade MelbourneSeattle Storm · BenchForecast saved Sep 20, 8:40 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 26.0 / 19.1 | -6.9 | 9.6 / 1 | -8.6 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
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