Los Angeles Sparks at Dallas Wings: projection vs. actual, September 17, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
11 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 3.4 minutes and 2.8 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Erica Wheeler played 11.8 minutes against 21.5 projected, a 9.7-minute gap in this sample.
Nneka Ogwumike scored 18 points against 17.5 projected, a 0.5-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ariel AtkinsLos Angeles Sparks · StarterForecast saved Sep 17, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 23.5 / 22.8 | -0.7 | 6.8 / 4 | -2.8 |
| Dearica HambyLos Angeles Sparks · StarterForecast saved Sep 17, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 23.6 / 20.9 | -2.7 | 11.3 / 14 | +2.7 |
| Erica WheelerLos Angeles Sparks · StarterForecast saved Sep 17, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 21.5 / 11.8 | -9.7 | 8.2 / 3 | -5.2 |
| Nneka OgwumikeLos Angeles Sparks · StarterForecast saved Sep 17, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 29.1 / 28.5 | -0.6 | 17.5 / 18 | +0.5 |
| Rae BurrellLos Angeles Sparks · StarterForecast saved Sep 17, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 28.4 / 24.3 | -4.1 | 16.5 / 12 | -4.5 |
| Cameron BrinkLos Angeles Sparks · BenchForecast saved Sep 17, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 23.6 / 23.7 | +0.1 | 11.7 / 9 | -2.7 |
| Arike OgunbowaleDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Sep 17, 6:20 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 30.0 / 27.3 | -2.7 | 16.7 / 11 | -5.7 |
| Awak KuierDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Sep 17, 6:20 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 27.1 / 22.3 | -4.8 | 8.8 / 7 | -1.8 |
| Jessica ShepardDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Sep 17, 6:20 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 29.5 / 27.8 | -1.7 | 13.9 / 13 | -0.9 |
| Maddy SiegristDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Sep 17, 6:20 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 17.9 / 23.3 | +5.4 | 8.5 / 12 | +3.5 |
| Paige BueckersDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Sep 17, 6:20 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 30.5 / 25.6 | -4.9 | 19.9 / 19 | -0.9 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
Browse more verified game recaps