Connecticut Sun at Atlanta Dream: projection vs. actual, September 17, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
11 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 7.8 minutes and 5.8 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
DeWanna Bonner played 11.0 minutes against 25.1 projected, a 14.1-minute gap in this sample.
Nell Angloma scored 6 points against 6.4 projected, a 0.4-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaliyah EdwardsConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Sep 17, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 24.8 / 16.1 | -8.7 | 14.9 / 7 | -7.9 |
| Charlisse Leger-WalkerConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Sep 17, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 24.3 / 23.5 | -0.8 | 8.6 / 4 | -4.6 |
| Olivia Nelson-OdodaConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Sep 17, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 21.6 / 16.4 | -5.2 | 10.2 / 13 | +2.8 |
| Saniya RiversConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Sep 17, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 27.1 / 33.6 | +6.5 | 8.6 / 9 | +0.4 |
| Nell AnglomaConnecticut Sun · BenchForecast saved Sep 17, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 17.9 / 22.4 | +4.5 | 6.4 / 6 | -0.4 |
| Allisha GrayAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Sep 17, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 32.6 / 22.2 | -10.4 | 19.7 / 10 | -9.7 |
| Angel ReeseAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Sep 17, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 34.9 / 25.0 | -9.9 | 18.1 / 30 | +11.9 |
| Jordin CanadaAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Sep 17, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 31.7 / 20.7 | -11.0 | 11.9 / 5 | -6.9 |
| Naz HillmonAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Sep 17, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 31.7 / 22.4 | -9.3 | 10.2 / 9 | -1.2 |
| Rhyne HowardAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Sep 17, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 33.5 / 28.3 | -5.2 | 19.1 / 10 | -9.1 |
| DeWanna BonnerAtlanta Dream · BenchForecast saved Sep 17, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 25.1 / 11.0 | -14.1 | 11.0 / 2 | -9.0 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
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