Connecticut Sun at Dallas Wings: projection vs. actual, August 30, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
11 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 5.6 minutes and 4.4 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Diamond Miller played 31.3 minutes against 18.9 projected, a 12.4-minute gap in this sample.
Raegan Beers scored 4 points against 4.3 projected, a 0.3-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanna SmithDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Aug 30, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 24.1 / 16.8 | -7.3 | 8.9 / 7 | -1.9 |
| Arike OgunbowaleDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Aug 30, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 31.3 / 23.3 | -8.0 | 16.8 / 18 | +1.2 |
| Awak KuierDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Aug 30, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 28.6 / 20.2 | -8.4 | 9.7 / 4 | -5.7 |
| Jessica ShepardDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Aug 30, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 25.4 / 25.4 | +0.0 | 11.6 / 17 | +5.4 |
| Paige BueckersDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Aug 30, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 32.7 / 25.4 | -7.3 | 21.6 / 15 | -6.6 |
| Maddy SiegristDallas Wings · BenchForecast saved Aug 30, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 17.2 / 16.1 | -1.1 | 7.7 / 11 | +3.3 |
| Aaliyah EdwardsConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Aug 30, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 24.0 / 28.1 | +4.1 | 13.0 / 26 | +13.0 |
| Charlisse Leger-WalkerConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Aug 30, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 24.2 / 28.9 | +4.7 | 8.0 / 17 | +9.0 |
| Diamond MillerConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Aug 30, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 18.9 / 31.3 | +12.4 | 9.0 / 8 | -1.0 |
| Saniya RiversConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Aug 30, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 26.6 / 26.2 | -0.4 | 8.6 / 8 | -0.6 |
| Raegan BeersConnecticut Sun · BenchForecast saved Aug 30, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 14.1 / 21.8 | +7.7 | 4.3 / 4 | -0.3 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
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