Connecticut Sun at Indiana Fever: projection vs. actual, August 28, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
11 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 4.5 minutes and 4.2 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Aaliyah Edwards played 29.7 minutes against 19.0 projected, a 10.7-minute gap in this sample.
Makayla Timpson scored 10 points against 9.8 projected, a 0.2-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaliyah EdwardsConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Aug 28, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 19.0 / 29.7 | +10.7 | 10.6 / 12 | +1.4 |
| Charlisse Leger-WalkerConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Aug 28, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 25.4 / 24.4 | -1.0 | 8.4 / 8 | -0.4 |
| Diamond MillerConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Aug 28, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 20.6 / 20.3 | -0.3 | 8.7 / 19 | +10.3 |
| Saniya RiversConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Aug 28, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 25.2 / 31.4 | +6.2 | 8.2 / 9 | +0.8 |
| Aliyah BostonIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Aug 28, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 30.4 / 25.0 | -5.4 | 18.8 / 14 | -4.8 |
| Caitlin ClarkIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Aug 28, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 35.3 / 33.8 | -1.5 | 25.9 / 34 | +8.1 |
| Kelsey MitchellIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Aug 28, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 32.6 / 31.2 | -1.4 | 27.8 / 34 | +6.2 |
| Lexie HullIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Aug 28, 7:11 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 17.4 / 24.3 | +6.9 | 4.2 / 7 | +2.8 |
| Makayla TimpsonIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Aug 28, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 29.3 / 29.5 | +0.2 | 9.8 / 10 | +0.2 |
| Monique BillingsIndiana Fever · BenchForecast saved Aug 28, 7:11 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 15.3 / 7.6 | -7.7 | 5.2 / 0 | -5.2 |
| Sophie CunninghamIndiana Fever · BenchForecast saved Aug 28, 7:05 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 22.7 / 14.1 | -8.6 | 6.7 / 1 | -5.7 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
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