Portland Fire at Dallas Wings: projection vs. actual, August 25, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
12 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 3.3 minutes and 3.0 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Jessica Shepard played 34.1 minutes against 23.7 projected, a 10.4-minute gap in this sample.
Arike Ogunbowale scored 17 points against 16.8 projected, a 0.2-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanna SmithDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Aug 25, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 26.0 / 24.3 | -1.7 | 9.1 / 10 | +0.9 |
| Arike OgunbowaleDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Aug 25, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 31.6 / 33.1 | +1.5 | 16.8 / 17 | +0.2 |
| Awak KuierDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Aug 25, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 27.0 / 33.6 | +6.6 | 8.8 / 12 | +3.2 |
| Jessica ShepardDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Aug 25, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 23.7 / 34.1 | +10.4 | 10.3 / 21 | +10.7 |
| Paige BueckersDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Aug 25, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 33.1 / 32.8 | -0.3 | 21.7 / 22 | +0.3 |
| Maddy SiegristDallas Wings · BenchForecast saved Aug 25, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 15.8 / 20.2 | +4.4 | 7.2 / 9 | +1.8 |
| Bridget CarletonPortland Fire · StarterForecast saved Aug 25, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 32.3 / 30.1 | -2.2 | 16.4 / 14 | -2.4 |
| Carla LeitePortland Fire · StarterForecast saved Aug 25, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 24.1 / 26.9 | +2.8 | 15.5 / 10 | -5.5 |
| Emily EngstlerPortland Fire · StarterForecast saved Aug 25, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 26.5 / 30.2 | +3.7 | 10.9 / 12 | +1.1 |
| Megan DiLeoPortland Fire · StarterForecast saved Aug 25, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 25.3 / 28.0 | +2.7 | 14.4 / 13 | -1.4 |
| Nyadiew PuochPortland Fire · StarterForecast saved Aug 25, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 18.4 / 18.0 | -0.4 | 4.4 / 0 | -4.4 |
| Frieda BuhnerPortland Fire · BenchForecast saved Aug 25, 7:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 13.6 / 16.9 | +3.3 | 5.5 / 10 | +4.5 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
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