courtside.
WNBA · Final · Tue, Aug 25

Chicago Sky at Connecticut Sun: projection vs. actual, August 25, 2026

Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.

Chicago Sky81–Connecticut Sun87

How the saved forecasts compared

9 comparable players

Across the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 6.4 minutes and 8.4 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.

Largest minutes difference

Natasha Cloud played 15.9 minutes against 33.2 projected, a 17.3-minute gap in this sample.

Closest points forecast

Saniya Rivers scored 7 points against 7.8 projected, a 0.8-point gap.

Courtside saved pregame minutes and points compared with official final results
PlayerMinutes
Proj / Actual
DifferencePoints
Proj / Actual
Difference
Aaliyah EdwardsConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Aug 25, 6:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v118.8 / 26.6+7.810.0 / 26+16.0
Kennedy BurkeConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Aug 25, 6:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v124.0 / 32.9+8.910.1 / 19+8.9
Saniya RiversConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Aug 25, 6:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v123.5 / 29.4+5.97.8 / 7-0.8
Azura StevensChicago Sky · StarterForecast saved Aug 25, 6:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v123.8 / 25.1+1.39.5 / 18+8.5
Courtney VanderslootChicago Sky · StarterForecast saved Aug 25, 6:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v125.2 / 25.1-0.110.1 / 8-2.1
Kamilla CardosoChicago Sky · StarterForecast saved Aug 25, 6:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v128.7 / 28.7+0.016.9 / 24+7.1
Natasha CloudChicago Sky · StarterForecast saved Aug 25, 6:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v133.2 / 15.9-17.315.7 / 3-12.7
Sydney TaylorChicago Sky · StarterForecast saved Aug 25, 6:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v120.0 / 20.1+0.113.6 / 4-9.6
DiJonai CarringtonChicago Sky · BenchForecast saved Aug 25, 6:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v120.4 / 4.1-16.310.3 / 0-10.3
Method

The clock matters.

We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.

Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.

See the combined WNBA projection track record

Browse more verified game recaps