courtside.
WNBA · Final · Sun, Aug 23

Las Vegas Aces at Toronto Tempo: projection vs. actual, August 23, 2026

Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.

Las Vegas Aces88–Toronto Tempo78

How the saved forecasts compared

9 comparable players

Across the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 4.6 minutes and 2.0 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.

Largest minutes difference

Julie Allemand played 14.7 minutes against 28.9 projected, a 14.2-minute gap in this sample.

Closest points forecast

Isabelle Harrison scored 12 points against 12.0 projected, a 0.0-point gap.

Courtside saved pregame minutes and points compared with official final results
PlayerMinutes
Proj / Actual
DifferencePoints
Proj / Actual
Difference
A'ja WilsonLas Vegas Aces · StarterForecast saved Aug 23, 6:37 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v132.9 / 30.5-2.426.1 / 27+0.9
Chelsea GrayLas Vegas Aces · StarterForecast saved Aug 23, 6:37 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v132.1 / 28.6-3.511.0 / 9-2.0
Jackie YoungLas Vegas Aces · StarterForecast saved Aug 23, 6:37 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v132.7 / 34.0+1.321.9 / 21-0.9
NaLyssa SmithLas Vegas Aces · StarterForecast saved Aug 23, 6:37 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v125.7 / 18.9-6.812.0 / 8-4.0
Jewell LoydLas Vegas Aces · BenchForecast saved Aug 23, 6:37 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v124.8 / 19.4-5.47.2 / 2-5.2
Isabelle HarrisonToronto Tempo · StarterForecast saved Aug 23, 6:37 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v124.0 / 27.9+3.912.0 / 12+0.0
Julie AllemandToronto Tempo · StarterForecast saved Aug 23, 6:37 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v128.9 / 14.7-14.26.1 / 3-3.1
Kiki RiceToronto Tempo · StarterForecast saved Aug 23, 6:37 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v129.6 / 29.8+0.213.3 / 14+0.7
Laura JuskaiteToronto Tempo · StarterForecast saved Aug 23, 6:37 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v125.0 / 28.5+3.59.6 / 11+1.4
Method

The clock matters.

We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.

Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.

See the combined WNBA projection track record

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