Washington Mystics at Portland Fire: projection vs. actual, August 23, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
10 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 2.8 minutes and 6.3 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Carla Leite played 29.9 minutes against 24.1 projected, a 5.8-minute gap in this sample.
Michaela Onyenwere scored 8 points against 7.2 projected, a 0.8-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia AmooreWashington Mystics · StarterForecast saved Aug 23, 6:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 21.8 / 23.7 | +1.9 | 5.0 / 13 | +8.0 |
| Kiki IriafenWashington Mystics · StarterForecast saved Aug 23, 6:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 29.9 / 30.1 | +0.2 | 15.9 / 18 | +2.1 |
| Michaela OnyenwereWashington Mystics · StarterForecast saved Aug 23, 6:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 23.1 / 23.7 | +0.6 | 7.2 / 8 | +0.8 |
| Shakira AustinWashington Mystics · StarterForecast saved Aug 23, 6:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 29.7 / 32.8 | +3.1 | 18.9 / 31 | +12.1 |
| Sonia CitronWashington Mystics · StarterForecast saved Aug 23, 6:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 32.0 / 32.6 | +0.6 | 16.0 / 14 | -2.0 |
| Bridget CarletonPortland Fire · StarterForecast saved Aug 23, 6:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 30.8 / 36.1 | +5.3 | 15.9 / 18 | +2.1 |
| Carla LeitePortland Fire · StarterForecast saved Aug 23, 6:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 24.1 / 29.9 | +5.8 | 14.8 / 27 | +12.2 |
| Emily EngstlerPortland Fire · StarterForecast saved Aug 23, 6:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 25.4 / 29.5 | +4.1 | 9.5 / 23 | +13.5 |
| Megan DiLeoPortland Fire · StarterForecast saved Aug 23, 6:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 24.7 / 27.1 | +2.4 | 13.6 / 21 | +7.4 |
| Frieda BuhnerPortland Fire · BenchForecast saved Aug 23, 6:41 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 14.7 / 10.5 | -4.2 | 6.1 / 3 | -3.1 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
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