Seattle Storm at Dallas Wings: projection vs. actual, August 23, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
11 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 5.6 minutes and 5.8 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Odyssey Sims played 4.0 minutes against 22.7 projected, a 18.7-minute gap in this sample.
Alanna Smith scored 9 points against 8.8 projected, a 0.2-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanna SmithDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Aug 23, 3:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 26.9 / 21.8 | -5.1 | 8.8 / 9 | +0.2 |
| Arike OgunbowaleDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Aug 23, 3:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 32.7 / 22.1 | -10.6 | 17.8 / 7 | -10.8 |
| Awak KuierDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Aug 23, 3:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 25.6 / 25.8 | +0.2 | 8.6 / 9 | +0.4 |
| Jessica ShepardDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Aug 23, 3:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 25.7 / 26.8 | +1.1 | 11.2 / 11 | -0.2 |
| Paige BueckersDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Aug 23, 3:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 34.1 / 26.2 | -7.9 | 20.2 / 32 | +11.8 |
| Odyssey SimsDallas Wings · BenchForecast saved Aug 23, 3:35 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 22.7 / 4.0 | -18.7 | 6.3 / 0 | -6.3 |
| Awa FamSeattle Storm · StarterForecast saved Aug 23, 2:20 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 20.9 / 25.4 | +4.5 | 8.0 / 0 | -8.0 |
| Dominique MalongaSeattle Storm · StarterForecast saved Aug 23, 2:20 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 28.2 / 20.2 | -8.0 | 18.8 / 12 | -6.8 |
| Ezi MagbegorSeattle Storm · StarterForecast saved Aug 23, 2:20 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 24.2 / 25.3 | +1.1 | 8.5 / 2 | -6.5 |
| Flau'jae JohnsonSeattle Storm · StarterForecast saved Aug 23, 2:20 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 27.6 / 26.3 | -1.3 | 13.8 / 23 | +9.2 |
| Jade MelbourneSeattle Storm · StarterForecast saved Aug 23, 2:20 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 29.8 / 27.3 | -2.5 | 11.2 / 15 | +3.8 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
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