Connecticut Sun at Los Angeles Sparks: projection vs. actual, August 22, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
13 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 5.5 minutes and 3.9 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Olivia Nelson-Ododa played 10.0 minutes against 22.9 projected, a 12.9-minute gap in this sample.
Erica Wheeler scored 11 points against 9.8 projected, a 1.2-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ariel AtkinsLos Angeles Sparks · StarterForecast saved Aug 22, 8:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 26.3 / 24.7 | -1.6 | 8.3 / 6 | -2.3 |
| Dearica HambyLos Angeles Sparks · StarterForecast saved Aug 22, 8:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 29.2 / 20.6 | -8.6 | 15.4 / 10 | -5.4 |
| Erica WheelerLos Angeles Sparks · StarterForecast saved Aug 22, 8:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 25.3 / 25.3 | +0.0 | 9.8 / 11 | +1.2 |
| Nneka OgwumikeLos Angeles Sparks · StarterForecast saved Aug 22, 8:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 29.6 / 33.1 | +3.5 | 16.1 / 11 | -5.1 |
| Rae BurrellLos Angeles Sparks · StarterForecast saved Aug 22, 8:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 31.4 / 30.1 | -1.3 | 16.9 / 20 | +3.1 |
| Cameron BrinkLos Angeles Sparks · BenchForecast saved Aug 22, 8:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 21.9 / 11.9 | -10.0 | 10.8 / 7 | -3.8 |
| Monique Akoa MakaniLos Angeles Sparks · BenchForecast saved Aug 22, 8:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 16.1 / 11.4 | -4.7 | 5.3 / 2 | -3.3 |
| Charlisse Leger-WalkerConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Aug 22, 8:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 25.6 / 22.3 | -3.3 | 7.2 / 5 | -2.2 |
| Diamond MillerConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Aug 22, 8:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 21.3 / 13.4 | -7.9 | 8.5 / 5 | -3.5 |
| Kennedy BurkeConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Aug 22, 8:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 21.7 / 30.8 | +9.1 | 9.3 / 11 | +1.7 |
| Leila LacanConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Aug 22, 8:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 26.8 / 28.9 | +2.1 | 10.5 / 13 | +2.5 |
| Olivia Nelson-OdodaConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Aug 22, 8:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 22.9 / 10.0 | -12.9 | 11.4 / 2 | -9.4 |
| Saniya RiversConnecticut Sun · BenchForecast saved Aug 22, 8:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 21.4 / 27.5 | +6.1 | 6.8 / 14 | +7.2 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
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