courtside.
WNBA · Final · Thu, Aug 20

Atlanta Dream at Los Angeles Sparks: projection vs. actual, August 20, 2026

Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.

Atlanta Dream124–Los Angeles Sparks88

How the saved forecasts compared

13 comparable players

Across the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 7.2 minutes and 5.1 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.

Largest minutes difference

Ariel Atkins played 15.9 minutes against 29.2 projected, a 13.3-minute gap in this sample.

Closest points forecast

Ariel Atkins scored 9 points against 8.3 projected, a 0.7-point gap.

Courtside saved pregame minutes and points compared with official final results
PlayerMinutes
Proj / Actual
DifferencePoints
Proj / Actual
Difference
Allisha GrayAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Aug 20, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v134.6 / 22.7-11.922.3 / 13-9.3
Angel ReeseAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Aug 20, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v133.6 / 30.5-3.115.7 / 20+4.3
Jordin CanadaAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Aug 20, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v131.5 / 26.7-4.812.1 / 9-3.1
Naz HillmonAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Aug 20, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v127.7 / 25.7-2.08.7 / 14+5.3
Rhyne HowardAtlanta Dream · StarterForecast saved Aug 20, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v135.6 / 25.2-10.418.1 / 26+7.9
Madina OkotAtlanta Dream · BenchForecast saved Aug 20, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v19.9 / 16.5+6.66.8 / 12+5.2
Ariel AtkinsLos Angeles Sparks · StarterForecast saved Aug 20, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v129.2 / 15.9-13.38.3 / 9+0.7
Dearica HambyLos Angeles Sparks · StarterForecast saved Aug 20, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v129.7 / 23.7-6.016.2 / 8-8.2
Erica WheelerLos Angeles Sparks · StarterForecast saved Aug 20, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v127.8 / 16.9-10.910.3 / 8-2.3
Nneka OgwumikeLos Angeles Sparks · StarterForecast saved Aug 20, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v131.0 / 24.7-6.317.2 / 11-6.2
Rae BurrellLos Angeles Sparks · StarterForecast saved Aug 20, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v132.8 / 24.9-7.917.9 / 12-5.9
Cameron BrinkLos Angeles Sparks · BenchForecast saved Aug 20, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v119.3 / 27.2+7.99.5 / 14+4.5
Monique Akoa MakaniLos Angeles Sparks · BenchForecast saved Aug 20, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v117.9 / 15.2-2.76.1 / 3-3.1
Method

The clock matters.

We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.

Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.

See the combined WNBA projection track record

Compare this game with other verified meetings between these teams .

Browse more verified game recaps