Connecticut Sun at Las Vegas Aces: projection vs. actual, August 20, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
10 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 4.9 minutes and 3.6 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Diamond Miller played 11.2 minutes against 25.0 projected, a 13.8-minute gap in this sample.
Jewell Loyd scored 7 points against 6.9 projected, a 0.1-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlisse Leger-WalkerConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Aug 20, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 25.0 / 28.3 | +3.3 | 6.8 / 10 | +3.2 |
| Diamond MillerConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Aug 20, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 25.0 / 11.2 | -13.8 | 10.5 / 2 | -8.5 |
| Kennedy BurkeConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Aug 20, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 23.0 / 23.8 | +0.8 | 9.8 / 11 | +1.2 |
| Leila LacanConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Aug 20, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 27.1 / 23.5 | -3.6 | 10.4 / 11 | +0.6 |
| Olivia Nelson-OdodaConnecticut Sun · StarterForecast saved Aug 20, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 23.4 / 24.3 | +0.9 | 11.5 / 14 | +2.5 |
| A'ja WilsonLas Vegas Aces · StarterForecast saved Aug 20, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 34.0 / 27.4 | -6.6 | 26.9 / 20 | -6.9 |
| Chelsea GrayLas Vegas Aces · StarterForecast saved Aug 20, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 33.4 / 28.9 | -4.5 | 11.9 / 6 | -5.9 |
| Jackie YoungLas Vegas Aces · StarterForecast saved Aug 20, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 33.7 / 27.6 | -6.1 | 21.8 / 24 | +2.2 |
| NaLyssa SmithLas Vegas Aces · StarterForecast saved Aug 20, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 26.2 / 17.5 | -8.7 | 12.3 / 7 | -5.3 |
| Jewell LoydLas Vegas Aces · BenchForecast saved Aug 20, 9:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 24.1 / 23.1 | -1.0 | 6.9 / 7 | +0.1 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
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