Indiana Fever at Dallas Wings: projection vs. actual, August 20, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
12 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 7.4 minutes and 8.7 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Alanna Smith played 9.6 minutes against 30.5 projected, a 20.9-minute gap in this sample.
Makayla Timpson scored 11 points against 8.9 projected, a 2.1-point gap.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aliyah BostonIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Aug 20, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 29.5 / 29.2 | -0.3 | 16.7 / 14 | -2.7 |
| Caitlin ClarkIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Aug 20, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 35.7 / 34.8 | -0.9 | 26.3 / 10 | -16.3 |
| Kelsey MitchellIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Aug 20, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 32.7 / 34.7 | +2.0 | 28.0 / 37 | +9.0 |
| Lexie HullIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Aug 20, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 14.7 / 25.0 | +10.3 | 3.3 / 9 | +5.7 |
| Makayla TimpsonIndiana Fever · StarterForecast saved Aug 20, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 29.6 / 33.9 | +4.3 | 8.9 / 11 | +2.1 |
| Sophie CunninghamIndiana Fever · BenchForecast saved Aug 20, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 23.8 / 15.1 | -8.7 | 7.6 / 0 | -7.6 |
| Alanna SmithDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Aug 20, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 30.5 / 9.6 | -20.9 | 10.9 / 0 | -10.9 |
| Arike OgunbowaleDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Aug 20, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 31.2 / 34.6 | +3.4 | 15.6 / 32 | +16.4 |
| Awak KuierDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Aug 20, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 20.4 / 35.7 | +15.3 | 7.0 / 11 | +4.0 |
| Jessica ShepardDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Aug 20, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 23.1 / 35.5 | +12.4 | 9.3 / 26 | +16.7 |
| Paige BueckersDallas Wings · StarterForecast saved Aug 20, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 33.0 / 34.7 | +1.7 | 20.3 / 13 | -7.3 |
| Odyssey SimsDallas Wings · BenchForecast saved Aug 20, 7:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 24.3 / 16.3 | -8.0 | 7.2 / 2 | -5.2 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
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